Fri, May 8, 2026
11:00 PM
FinalPlayoffs
KeyBank Center
Retroactive prediction
Wrong winner predicted
MTL 36%64% BUF
Probable score
2 - 3
Regulation win (home)
59%
OT / shootout probability
16%
Elo home / away
1561 / 1521
1 injured/absent player(s) excluded from predictions.
Likely goal scorers
0/6 correct
Tage Thompson0.54 goal · 41%0
Cole Caufield0.46 goal · 37%0
Alex Tuch0.41 goal · 34%0
Josh Norris0.38 goal · 32%0
Jason Zucker0.31 goal · 26%0
Rasmus Dahlin0.30 goal · 26%0Likely goal scorers
0/6 correctTage Thompson0.54 goal · 41%0Cole Caufield0.46 goal · 37%0Alex Tuch0.41 goal · 34%0Josh Norris0.38 goal · 32%0Jason Zucker0.31 goal · 26%0Rasmus Dahlin0.30 goal · 26%0Likely assists
1/6 correctRasmus Dahlin0.41 assist · 34%0
Nick Suzuki0.38 assist · 32%0
Lane Hutson0.37 assist · 31%1Josh Norris0.34 assist · 29%0
Zach Benson0.30 assist · 26%0Jason Zucker0.28 assist · 24%0Likely point getters
1/6 correctTage Thompson0.81 point · 55%0Josh Norris0.72 point · 51%0Rasmus Dahlin0.71 point · 51%0Cole Caufield0.65 point · 48%0Nick Suzuki0.64 point · 47%1Alex Tuch0.64 point · 47%0Tonight's matchup
| MTL | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | G | 40 |
| 72 | A | 41 |
| 101 | PTS | 81 |
| 15.8% | S% | 14.7% |
| 20.8 | TOI | 19.2 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 01:36
K. Guhle (5), L. Hutson (5)
MTL 1–0 BUF - 04:27
P. Danault (2)
MTL 2–0 BUF
2nd period
- 04:47
J. Evans (2), N. Dobson (1)
MTL 3–0 BUF - 19:22BUFZ. Benson(3)
C. Timmins (1), J. Doan (4)
MTL 3–1 BUF
3rd period
- 03:54MTL 4–1 BUF
- 15:59
J. Anderson (2)
MTL 5–1 BUF
Team comparison
| MTL | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Shots | 29 |
| 18 | Hits | 44 |
| 18 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 20 | PIM | 12 |
