Wed, May 6, 2026
11:00 PM
FinalPlayoffs
KeyBank Center
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
MTL 38%62% BUF
Probable score
2 - 3
Regulation win (home)
54%
OT / shootout probability
17%
Elo home / away
1559 / 1523
1 injured/absent player(s) excluded from predictions.
Likely goal scorers
0/6 correct
Tage Thompson0.49 goal · 39%0
Cole Caufield0.46 goal · 37%0
Alex Tuch0.38 goal · 32%0
Josh Norris0.35 goal · 29%0
Jason Zucker0.28 goal · 25%0
Rasmus Dahlin0.27 goal · 24%0Likely goal scorers
0/6 correctTage Thompson0.49 goal · 39%0Cole Caufield0.46 goal · 37%0Alex Tuch0.38 goal · 32%0Josh Norris0.35 goal · 29%0Jason Zucker0.28 goal · 25%0Rasmus Dahlin0.27 goal · 24%0Likely assists
2/6 correct
Nick Suzuki0.39 assist · 32%0Rasmus Dahlin0.38 assist · 32%0
Lane Hutson0.38 assist · 31%0Josh Norris0.32 assist · 27%0
Zach Benson0.28 assist · 24%2
Juraj Slafkovský0.26 assist · 23%1Likely point getters
1/6 correctTage Thompson0.74 point · 52%0Josh Norris0.66 point · 49%0Cole Caufield0.66 point · 48%0Rasmus Dahlin0.65 point · 48%0Nick Suzuki0.65 point · 48%1Alex Tuch0.59 point · 44%0Tonight's matchup
| MTL | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | G | 40 |
| 72 | A | 41 |
| 101 | PTS | 81 |
| 15.8% | S% | 14.7% |
| 20.8 | TOI | 19.2 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 04:31BUFJ. Doan(2)
Z. Benson (2)
MTL 0–1 BUF - 13:26
Z. Benson (3), J. Doan (3)
MTL 0–2 BUF - 19:16
J. Slafkovský (1), I. Demidov (2)
MTL 1–2 BUF
2nd period
- 03:32
M. Samuelsson (1)
MTL 1–3 BUF - 09:01
R. McLeod (2)
MTL 1–4 BUF - 16:31MTLK. Dach(3)
Z. Bolduc (4)
MTL 2–4 BUF
Team comparison
| MTL | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Shots | 16 |
| 1 | Power play | 2 |
| 31 | Hits | 27 |
| 12 | Blocked shots | 13 |
| 6 | PIM | 4 |
