Tue, Apr 21, 2026
11:30 PM
FinalPlayoffs
KeyBank Center
Retroactive prediction
Wrong winner predicted
BOS 40%60% BUF
Probable score
3 - 4
Regulation win (home)
53%
OT / shootout probability
15%
Elo home / away
1552 / 1519
Likely goal scorers
2/6 correct
Tage Thompson0.54 goal · 41%0
Alex Tuch0.43 goal · 35%0
Josh Norris0.40 goal · 33%0
Morgan Geekie0.39 goal · 33%1
Jason Zucker0.35 goal · 29%0
Pavel Zacha0.34 goal · 29%1Likely goal scorers
2/6 correctTage Thompson0.54 goal · 41%0Alex Tuch0.43 goal · 35%0Josh Norris0.40 goal · 33%0Morgan Geekie0.39 goal · 33%1Jason Zucker0.35 goal · 29%0Pavel Zacha0.34 goal · 29%1Likely assists
3/6 correct
David Pastrnak0.48 assist · 38%2
Rasmus Dahlin0.39 assist · 32%1Josh Norris0.34 assist · 29%0
Charlie McAvoy0.32 assist · 27%1
Zach Benson0.31 assist · 27%0
Bowen Byram0.29 assist · 25%0Likely point getters
3/6 correctTage Thompson0.80 point · 55%0David Pastrnak0.77 point · 54%2Josh Norris0.73 point · 52%0Rasmus Dahlin0.67 point · 49%1Alex Tuch0.64 point · 47%1Zach Benson0.63 point · 46%0Tonight's matchup
| BOS | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | G | 40 |
| 71 | A | 41 |
| 100 | PTS | 81 |
| 11.1% | S% | 14.7% |
| 20.7 | TOI | 19.2 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
2nd period
- 04:54
J. Aspirot (1), C. Mittelstadt (1)
BOS 1–0 BUF - 16:29BOSM. Geekie(2)
D. Pastrnak (3), S. Kuraly (1)
BOS 2–0 BUF - 18:10
D. Pastrnak (4), C. McAvoy (1)
BOS 3–0 BUF
3rd period
- 00:16
C. Mittelstadt (2), J. Aspirot (2)
BOS 4–0 BUF - 13:54BUFB. Byram(1)
B. Malenstyn (1), O. Power (2)
BOS 4–1 BUF - 15:08BUFP. Krebs(1)
R. Dahlin (1), A. Tuch (2)
BOS 4–2 BUF
Team comparison
| BOS | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | Shots | 35 |
| 1 | Power play | — |
| 32 | Hits | 30 |
| 27 | Blocked shots | 10 |
| 47 | PIM | 47 |
