Sat, Apr 4, 2026
11:00 PM
FinalRegular season
Capital One Arena
Retroactive prediction
Wrong winner predicted
BUF 51%49% WSH
Probable score
4 - 3
Regulation win (home)
38%
OT / shootout probability
15%
Elo home / away
1515 / 1543
Likely goal scorers
2/6 correct
Alex Ovechkin0.51 goal · 40%0
Tom Wilson0.48 goal · 38%1
Tage Thompson0.47 goal · 38%0
Alex Tuch0.43 goal · 35%0
Justin Sourdif0.37 goal · 31%0
Aliaksei Protas0.32 goal · 27%1Likely goal scorers
2/6 correctAlex Ovechkin0.51 goal · 40%0Tom Wilson0.48 goal · 38%1Tage Thompson0.47 goal · 38%0Alex Tuch0.43 goal · 35%0Justin Sourdif0.37 goal · 31%0Aliaksei Protas0.32 goal · 27%1Likely assists
5/6 correct
Pierre-Luc Dubois0.36 assist · 30%2
Rasmus Dahlin0.33 assist · 28%1
Connor McMichael0.33 assist · 28%1
Cole Hutson0.29 assist · 25%1
Jakob Chychrun0.28 assist · 25%1Tage Thompson0.28 assist · 24%0Likely point getters
5/6 correctTage Thompson0.75 point · 53%0Alex Ovechkin0.68 point · 49%2Tom Wilson0.66 point · 49%1Alex Tuch0.64 point · 47%1Jakob Chychrun0.59 point · 44%2Pierre-Luc Dubois0.58 point · 44%2Tonight's matchup
| BUF | Stat | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | G | 32 |
| 41 | A | 32 |
| 81 | PTS | 64 |
| 14.7% | S% | 13.1% |
| 19.2 | TOI | 17.4 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 03:15
A. Ovechkin (29), P. Dubois (11)
BUF 0–1 WSH - 03:35
A. Protas (25), A. Ovechkin (30)
BUF 0–2 WSH - 05:52
J. Chychrun (34), P. Dubois (12)
BUF 0–3 WSH - 06:30
J. Norris (18), A. Tuch (32)
BUF 1–3 WSH - 12:15
J. Greenway (5), R. Dahlin (51)
BUF 2–3 WSH
2nd period
- 06:06BUF 2–4 WSH
3rd period
- 06:26
C. Hutson (5), J. Sourdif (18)
BUF 2–5 WSH - 08:55
C. McMichael (30)
BUF 2–6 WSH
Team comparison
| BUF | Stat | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | Shots | 28 |
| 17 | Hits | 14 |
| 8 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 14 | PIM | 20 |
