Lightning 2 - 4 Sabres — Recap

Mon, Apr 6, 2026

11:00 PM

FinalRegular season

KeyBank Center

TBL

2–4

BUF

W W L W W

OL W W L W W

W W OL W OL W W L W W

L L W OW L

L L W OW L OL

L L W OW L OL OL W W W

Retroactive prediction

Wrong winner predicted

TBL 56%44% BUF

Probable score

4 - 3

Regulation win (home)

34%

OT / shootout probability

15%

Elo home / away

1538 / 1589

Likely goal scorers

4/6 correct

0.56 goal · 43%1

0.53 goal · 41%1

0.43 goal · 35%0

0.33 goal · 28%1

0.32 goal · 27%0

0.32 goal · 27%1

Likely goal scorers

4/6 correct

0.56 goal · 43%1

0.53 goal · 41%1

0.43 goal · 35%0

0.33 goal · 28%1

0.32 goal · 27%0

0.32 goal · 27%1

Likely assists

4/6 correct

0.64 assist · 47%0

0.37 assist · 31%1

0.33 assist · 28%1

0.29 assist · 25%2

0.26 assist · 23%0

0.23 assist · 21%1

Likely point getters

5/6 correct

1.20 point · 70%1

0.85 point · 57%2

0.69 point · 50%0

0.64 point · 47%1

0.52 point · 41%2

0.52 point · 41%1

Tonight's matchup

Nikita Kucherov

TBL · R · 76 GP

vs

Tage Thompson

BUF · C · 81 GP

TBL	Stat	BUF
44	G	40
86	A	41
130	PTS	81
19.0%	S%	14.7%
20.3	TOI	19.2

TBL 4 – 6 BUF · goal diff (home) 0.30

Mar 8TBL7–8BUF2025-26 Feb 28BUF6–2TBL2025-26 Feb 3BUF3–4TBLOT2025-26 Apr 13BUF4–7TBL2024-25 Apr 5TBL2–3BUFSO2024-25 Mar 6BUF5–6TBL2024-25 Apr 15BUF4–2TBL2023-24 Feb 29BUF3–2TBLOT2023-24

Result

Three stars

1

A. Tuch

R · BUF

1G · 0A · 1P

2

U. Luukkonen

G · BUF

0G · 0A · 0P

3

J. Zucker

L · BUF

1G · 1A · 2P

Scoring summary

1st period

05:42
BUFA. Tuch(30)
B. Byram (29), R. McLeod (39)
TBL 0–1 BUF
11:45
TBLN. Kucherov(43)TYINGPP
J. Guentzel (49), D. Raddysh (47)
TBL 1–1 BUF
14:04
BUFJ. Norris(11)
J. Doan (25), Z. Benson (27)
TBL 1–2 BUF

2nd period

03:56
TBLJ. Guentzel(37)TYING
B. Point (30), D. Raddysh (48)
TBL 2–2 BUF
07:38
BUFJ. Zucker(23)
B. Byram (30), R. Dahlin (52)
TBL 2–3 BUF

3rd period

18:06
BUFJ. Quinn(19)EN
J. Zucker (18), U. Luukkonen (1)
TBL 2–4 BUF

Team comparison

TBL	Stat	BUF
25	Shots	30
1	Power play	—
28	Hits	22
10	Blocked shots	10
12	PIM	14

Actual result

Goal scorers(6)

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(6)

Goal scorers(6)

Assists(10)

Points(14)