Mon, Apr 6, 2026
11:00 PM
FinalRegular season
KeyBank Center
Retroactive prediction
Wrong winner predicted
TBL 56%44% BUF
Probable score
4 - 3
Regulation win (home)
34%
OT / shootout probability
15%
Elo home / away
1538 / 1589
Likely goal scorers
4/6 correct
Nikita Kucherov0.56 goal · 43%1
Jake Guentzel0.53 goal · 41%1
Tage Thompson0.43 goal · 35%0
Jason Zucker0.33 goal · 28%1
Brayden Point0.32 goal · 27%0
Alex Tuch0.32 goal · 27%1Likely goal scorers
4/6 correctNikita Kucherov0.56 goal · 43%1Jake Guentzel0.53 goal · 41%1Tage Thompson0.43 goal · 35%0Jason Zucker0.33 goal · 28%1Brayden Point0.32 goal · 27%0Alex Tuch0.32 goal · 27%1Likely assists
4/6 correctNikita Kucherov0.64 assist · 47%0
Rasmus Dahlin0.37 assist · 31%1Jake Guentzel0.33 assist · 28%1
Darren Raddysh0.29 assist · 25%2Tage Thompson0.26 assist · 23%0
Zach Benson0.23 assist · 21%1Likely point getters
5/6 correctNikita Kucherov1.20 point · 70%1Jake Guentzel0.85 point · 57%2Tage Thompson0.69 point · 50%0Rasmus Dahlin0.64 point · 47%1Darren Raddysh0.52 point · 41%2Brayden Point0.52 point · 41%1Tonight's matchup
| TBL | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 44 | G | 40 |
| 86 | A | 41 |
| 130 | PTS | 81 |
| 19.0% | S% | 14.7% |
| 20.3 | TOI | 19.2 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 05:42BUFA. Tuch(30)
B. Byram (29), R. McLeod (39)
TBL 0–1 BUF - 11:45
J. Guentzel (49), D. Raddysh (47)
TBL 1–1 BUF - 14:04
J. Doan (25), Z. Benson (27)
TBL 1–2 BUF
2nd period
- 03:56
B. Point (30), D. Raddysh (48)
TBL 2–2 BUF - 07:38
B. Byram (30), R. Dahlin (52)
TBL 2–3 BUF
3rd period
- 18:06
J. Zucker (18), U. Luukkonen (1)
TBL 2–4 BUF
Team comparison
| TBL | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Shots | 30 |
| 1 | Power play | — |
| 28 | Hits | 22 |
| 10 | Blocked shots | 10 |
| 12 | PIM | 14 |
