Sun, Apr 19, 2026
11:30 PM
FinalPlayoffs
KeyBank Center
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
BOS 40%60% BUF
Probable score
3 - 4
Regulation win (home)
52%
OT / shootout probability
16%
Elo home / away
1550 / 1521
Likely goal scorers
3/6 correct
Tage Thompson0.51 goal · 40%2
Alex Tuch0.41 goal · 33%1
Morgan Geekie0.38 goal · 32%1
Josh Norris0.38 goal · 32%0
Jason Zucker0.33 goal · 28%0
Pavel Zacha0.33 goal · 28%0Likely goal scorers
3/6 correctTage Thompson0.51 goal · 40%2Alex Tuch0.41 goal · 33%1Morgan Geekie0.38 goal · 32%1Josh Norris0.38 goal · 32%0Jason Zucker0.33 goal · 28%0Pavel Zacha0.33 goal · 28%0Likely assists
1/6 correct
David Pastrnak0.46 assist · 37%2
Rasmus Dahlin0.37 assist · 31%0Josh Norris0.32 assist · 27%0
Charlie McAvoy0.30 assist · 26%0
Zach Benson0.29 assist · 26%0
Bowen Byram0.27 assist · 24%0Likely point getters
3/6 correctTage Thompson0.76 point · 53%3David Pastrnak0.74 point · 52%3Josh Norris0.70 point · 50%0Rasmus Dahlin0.64 point · 47%0Alex Tuch0.60 point · 45%2Zach Benson0.59 point · 45%0Tonight's matchup
| BOS | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | G | 40 |
| 71 | A | 41 |
| 100 | PTS | 81 |
| 11.1% | S% | 14.7% |
| 20.7 | TOI | 19.2 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 10:52BOSM. Geekie(1)
D. Pastrnak (1), N. Zadorov (1)
BOS 1–0 BUF
3rd period
- 01:08
M. Geekie (1), D. Pastrnak (2)
BOS 2–0 BUF - 12:02
P. Krebs (1)
BOS 2–1 BUF - 15:44
A. Tuch (1)
BOS 2–2 BUF - 16:36
J. Quinn (1)
BOS 2–3 BUF - 18:48
T. Thompson (1), O. Power (1)
BOS 2–4 BUF - 19:52
P. Zacha (1), M. Geekie (2)
BOS 3–4 BUF
Team comparison
| BOS | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Shots | 38 |
| 1 | Power play | — |
| 38 | Hits | 53 |
| 14 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 12 | PIM | 10 |
