Wed, Apr 8, 2026
11:00 PM
FinalRegular season
Madison Square Garden
Retroactive prediction
Wrong winner predicted
BUF 45%55% NYR
Probable score
3 - 4
Regulation win (home)
53%
OT / shootout probability
15%
Elo home / away
1497 / 1541
1 injured/absent player(s) excluded from predictions.
Likely goal scorers
2/6 correct
Mika Zibanejad0.46 goal · 37%0
Adam Sykora0.35 goal · 29%0
Will Cuylle0.33 goal · 28%0
Tage Thompson0.32 goal · 28%0
Alexis Lafrenière0.31 goal · 27%2
Alex Tuch0.30 goal · 26%1Likely goal scorers
2/6 correctMika Zibanejad0.46 goal · 37%0Adam Sykora0.35 goal · 29%0Will Cuylle0.33 goal · 28%0Tage Thompson0.32 goal · 28%0Alexis Lafrenière0.31 goal · 27%2Alex Tuch0.30 goal · 26%1Likely assists
5/6 correct
Adam Fox0.59 assist · 44%1
J.T. Miller0.48 assist · 38%1Mika Zibanejad0.46 assist · 37%1
Rasmus Dahlin0.30 assist · 26%1Alexis Lafrenière0.26 assist · 22%0
Vincent Trocheck0.25 assist · 22%1Likely point getters
6/6 correctMika Zibanejad0.93 point · 60%1Adam Fox0.84 point · 57%2J.T. Miller0.77 point · 54%1Alexis Lafrenière0.57 point · 43%2Rasmus Dahlin0.55 point · 42%1Tage Thompson0.52 point · 40%1Tonight's matchup
| BUF | Stat | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | G | 34 |
| 41 | A | 44 |
| 81 | PTS | 78 |
| 14.7% | S% | 15.8% |
| 19.2 | TOI | 20.9 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 04:40
J. Zucker (19), C. Timmins (8)
BUF 1–0 NYR - 08:58
R. Dahlin (53), B. Byram (31)
BUF 2–0 NYR - 19:21
A. Fox (43), J. Miller (34)
BUF 2–1 NYR
2nd period
- 02:57
D. Fortescue (2)
BUF 2–2 NYR - 14:44
V. Trocheck (37), M. Zibanejad (43)
BUF 2–3 NYR
3rd period
- 05:51
P. Krebs (27), T. Thompson (41)
BUF 3–3 NYR - 07:14
R. McLeod (40)
BUF 4–3 NYR - 18:45
J. Doan (26), J. Norris (19)
BUF 5–3 NYR
Team comparison
| BUF | Stat | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | Shots | 20 |
| — | Power play | 2 |
| 19 | Hits | 26 |
| 19 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 6 | PIM | 8 |
