Sat, May 16, 2026
12:00 AM
FinalPlayoffs
Centre Bell
Retroactive prediction
Wrong winner predicted
BUF 41%59% MTL
Probable score
3 - 4
Regulation win (home)
56%
OT / shootout probability
15%
Elo home / away
1534 / 1548
1 injured/absent player(s) excluded from predictions.
Likely goal scorers
2/6 correct0.69 goal · 50%0
0.46 goal · 37%0
0.42 goal · 34%1
0.37 goal · 31%0
0.36 goal · 31%0
0.35 goal · 30%1
Likely goal scorers
2/6 correct0.69 goal · 50%0
0.46 goal · 37%0
0.42 goal · 34%1
0.37 goal · 31%0
0.36 goal · 31%0
0.35 goal · 30%1
Likely assists
3/6 correct0.68 assist · 49%0
0.51 assist · 40%1
0.40 assist · 33%0
0.36 assist · 30%4
0.30 assist · 26%1
0.26 assist · 23%0
Likely point getters
4/6 correct1.14 point · 68%0
0.99 point · 63%1
0.78 point · 54%0
0.64 point · 47%4
0.62 point · 46%1
0.61 point · 46%5
Tonight's matchup
| BUF | Stat | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | G | 29 |
| 41 | A | 72 |
| 81 | PTS | 101 |
| 14.7% | S% | 15.8% |
| 19.2 | TOI | 20.8 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 00:32BUFR. Dahlin(3)
M. Samuelsson (3), Z. Benson (4)
BUF 1–0 MTL - 01:40
J. Evans (6)
BUF 1–1 MTL - 08:12
L. Hutson (11), C. Caufield (5)
BUF 1–2 MTL - 10:14
M. Matheson (2)
BUF 1–3 MTL - 13:56
J. Norris (2), J. Quinn (5)
BUF 2–3 MTL
2nd period
- 01:00
T. Thompson (8), B. Byram (3)
BUF 3–3 MTL - 10:54
R. Dahlin (7), T. Thompson (9)
BUF 4–3 MTL - 12:59
J. Zucker (2), R. Dahlin (8)
BUF 5–3 MTL
3rd period
- 09:58
T. Thompson (10), R. Dahlin (9)
BUF 6–3 MTL - 14:12BUF 7–3 MTL
- 17:49
R. McLeod (3), R. Dahlin (10)
BUF 8–3 MTL
Team comparison
| BUF | Stat | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| 36 | Shots | 22 |
| 4 | Power play | 1 |
| 19 | Hits | 31 |
| 18 | Blocked shots | 9 |
| 30 | PIM | 58 |
