Thu, May 14, 2026
11:00 PM
FinalPlayoffs
KeyBank Center
Retroactive prediction
Wrong winner predicted
MTL 44%56% BUF
Probable score
3 - 3
Regulation win (home)
45%
OT / shootout probability
17%
Elo home / away
1553 / 1529
1 injured/absent player(s) excluded from predictions.
Likely goal scorers
2/6 correct
Cole Caufield0.57 goal · 44%1
Tage Thompson0.50 goal · 39%0
Alex Tuch0.39 goal · 32%0
Josh Norris0.35 goal · 30%0
Nick Suzuki0.33 goal · 28%1
Juraj Slafkovský0.29 goal · 25%0Likely goal scorers
2/6 correctCole Caufield0.57 goal · 44%1Tage Thompson0.50 goal · 39%0Alex Tuch0.39 goal · 32%0Josh Norris0.35 goal · 30%0Nick Suzuki0.33 goal · 28%1Juraj Slafkovský0.29 goal · 25%0Likely assists
4/6 correctNick Suzuki0.48 assist · 38%2
Lane Hutson0.47 assist · 37%2
Rasmus Dahlin0.39 assist · 32%1Josh Norris0.32 assist · 27%0Juraj Slafkovský0.32 assist · 27%3
Zach Benson0.28 assist · 25%0Likely point getters
4/6 correctCole Caufield0.82 point · 56%1Nick Suzuki0.81 point · 55%3Tage Thompson0.76 point · 53%0Josh Norris0.68 point · 49%0Rasmus Dahlin0.67 point · 49%1Juraj Slafkovský0.61 point · 46%3Tonight's matchup
| MTL | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | G | 40 |
| 72 | A | 41 |
| 101 | PTS | 81 |
| 15.8% | S% | 14.7% |
| 20.8 | TOI | 19.2 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 02:00BUFJ. Zucker(1)
J. Quinn (4), C. Timmins (2)
MTL 0–1 BUF - 06:31
N. Suzuki (7), J. Slafkovský (3)
MTL 1–1 BUF - 07:45BUFJ. Doan(3)
O. Power (5)
MTL 1–2 BUF - 07:54
A. Carrier (3), P. Danault (4)
MTL 2–2 BUF - 10:15
M. Samuelsson (2), R. Dahlin (6)
MTL 2–3 BUF
2nd period
- 08:01
L. Hutson (9), P. Danault (5)
MTL 3–3 BUF - 16:15MTLJ. Evans(1)
I. Demidov (5), A. Newhook (2)
MTL 4–3 BUF - 17:33
J. Slafkovský (4), L. Hutson (10)
MTL 5–3 BUF
3rd period
- 03:32
J. Slafkovský (5), N. Suzuki (8)
MTL 6–3 BUF
Team comparison
| MTL | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Shots | 36 |
| 2 | Power play | — |
| 19 | Hits | 22 |
| 25 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 16 | PIM | 16 |
