Panthers 3 - 2 Maple Leafs — Recap

Thu, May 4, 2023

11:00 PM

FinalPlayoffs

Scotiabank Arena

FLA

3–2

TOR

L OW W OW W

L L OW W OW W

OL L L W L L OW W OW W

L OW L OW OW

L OW L OW OW W

L OW L OW OW W L W W OW

Retroactive prediction

Wrong winner predicted

FLA 40%60% TOR

Probable score

3 - 4

Regulation win (home)

53%

OT / shootout probability

15%

Elo home / away

1545 / 1526

Likely goal scorers

0/6 correct

0.89 goal · 59%0

0.69 goal · 50%0

0.50 goal · 39%0

0.49 goal · 39%0

0.45 goal · 36%0

0.43 goal · 35%0

Likely goal scorers

0/6 correct

0.89 goal · 59%0

0.69 goal · 50%0

0.50 goal · 39%0

0.49 goal · 39%0

0.45 goal · 36%0

0.43 goal · 35%0

Likely assists

3/6 correct

0.58 assist · 44%1

0.47 assist · 37%0

0.46 assist · 37%0

0.40 assist · 33%1

0.40 assist · 33%0

0.39 assist · 32%1

Likely point getters

4/6 correct

1.29 point · 73%1

1.01 point · 64%0

1.01 point · 63%1

0.90 point · 59%0

0.83 point · 56%1

0.78 point · 54%1

Tonight's matchup

Matthew Tkachuk

FLA · L · 79 GP

vs

Mitch Marner

TOR · R · 80 GP

FLA	Stat	TOR
40	G	30
69	A	69
109	PTS	99
12.4%	S%	15.3%
20.4	TOI	21.3

FLA 4 – 4 TOR · goal diff (home) 0.50

May 2FLA4–2TOR2022-23 Apr 10TOR2–1FLAOT2022-23 Mar 29FLA3–2TOROT2022-23 Mar 23TOR6–2FLA2022-23 Jan 17FLA4–5TOROT2022-23 Apr 23TOR2–3FLAOT2021-22 Apr 5TOR6–7FLAOT2021-22 Mar 27FLA2–5TOR2021-22

Result

Three stars

1

S. Bobrovsky

G · FLA

0G · 0A · 0P

2

A. Lundell

C · FLA

1G · 1A · 2P

3

G. Forsling

D · FLA

1G · 0A · 1P

Scoring summary

1st period

02:20
TORA. Kerfoot(2)
L. Schenn (1), M. Rielly (7)
FLA 0–1 TOR
05:10
TORR. O'Reilly(3)PP
M. Marner (10), A. Matthews (6)
FLA 0–2 TOR
11:13
FLAA. Lundell(1)
S. Reinhart (2)
FLA 1–2 TOR

2nd period

00:19
FLAA. Barkov(2)TYING
A. Duclair (3)
FLA 2–2 TOR
01:06
FLAG. Forsling(2)
M. Tkachuk (10), A. Lundell (5)
FLA 3–2 TOR

Team comparison

FLA	Stat	TOR
29	Shots	37
—	Power play	1
42	Hits	48
15	Blocked shots	6
6	PIM	2

Actual result

Goal scorers(5)

Gustav ForslingFLA1

Aleksander BarkovFLA1

Alexander KerfootTOR1

Anton LundellFLA1

Ryan O'ReillyTOR1

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(5)

Goal scorers(5)

Assists(8)

Points(12)