Thu, Apr 20, 2023
11:00 PM
FinalPlayoffs
Scotiabank Arena
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
TBL 43%57% TOR
Probable score
3 - 4
Regulation win (home)
49%
OT / shootout probability
15%
Elo home / away
1544 / 1529
Likely goal scorers
3/6 correct
Auston Matthews0.66 goal · 48%0
William Nylander0.65 goal · 48%1
John Tavares0.40 goal · 33%3
Mitch Marner0.40 goal · 33%2
Brayden Point0.38 goal · 32%0
Alex Killorn0.34 goal · 29%0Likely goal scorers
3/6 correctAuston Matthews0.66 goal · 48%0William Nylander0.65 goal · 48%1John Tavares0.40 goal · 33%3Mitch Marner0.40 goal · 33%2Brayden Point0.38 goal · 32%0Alex Killorn0.34 goal · 29%0Likely assists
4/6 correctMitch Marner0.45 assist · 36%1
Nikita Kucherov0.44 assist · 36%0Auston Matthews0.41 assist · 34%2
Steven Stamkos0.40 assist · 33%1
Mikhail Sergachev0.35 assist · 29%0William Nylander0.33 assist · 28%1Likely point getters
5/6 correctAuston Matthews1.07 point · 66%2William Nylander0.98 point · 63%2Mitch Marner0.85 point · 57%3Steven Stamkos0.70 point · 50%1Nikita Kucherov0.70 point · 50%0John Tavares0.69 point · 50%3Tonight's matchup
| TBL | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | G | 30 |
| 83 | A | 69 |
| 113 | PTS | 99 |
| 11.1% | S% | 15.3% |
| 20.1 | TOI | 21.3 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 00:47
M. Rielly (1), A. Matthews (3)
TBL 0–1 TOR - 12:45
M. Rielly (2)
TBL 0–2 TOR - 15:08
M. Rielly (3), A. Matthews (4)
TBL 0–3 TOR
2nd period
- 08:58TBLI. Cole(1)
S. Stamkos (1), B. Point (1)
TBL 1–3 TOR - 13:14
M. Rielly (4), W. Nylander (1)
TBL 1–4 TOR - 15:52
D. Kampf (1), S. Lafferty (1)
TBL 1–5 TOR - 18:02TORM. Marner(2)
T. Brodie (1)
TBL 1–6 TOR
3rd period
- 12:38TBLC. Perry(2)
P. Bellemare (1), P. Maroon (1)
TBL 2–6 TOR - 15:06
M. Marner (4), R. O'Reilly (1)
TBL 2–7 TOR
Team comparison
| TBL | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Shots | 37 |
| — | Power play | 2 |
| 53 | Hits | 41 |
| 16 | Blocked shots | 17 |
| 49 | PIM | 23 |
