Lightning 7 - 3 Maple Leafs — Recap

Tue, Apr 18, 2023

11:30 PM

FinalPlayoffs

Scotiabank Arena

TBL

7–3

TOR

L L L L W

W L L L L W

L L W W W L L L L W

W W OW W OL

W W OW W OL W

W W OW W OL W L W OL W

Retroactive prediction

Wrong winner predicted

TBL 34%66% TOR

Probable score

2 - 4

Regulation win (home)

65%

OT / shootout probability

14%

Elo home / away

1550 / 1523

Likely goal scorers

2/6 correct

0.70 goal · 50%0

0.69 goal · 50%1

0.42 goal · 34%0

0.42 goal · 34%0

0.31 goal · 27%0

0.31 goal · 26%1

Likely goal scorers

2/6 correct

0.70 goal · 50%0

0.69 goal · 50%1

0.42 goal · 34%0

0.42 goal · 34%0

0.31 goal · 27%0

0.31 goal · 26%1

Likely assists

3/6 correct

0.48 assist · 38%3

0.44 assist · 36%2

0.35 assist · 30%0

0.33 assist · 28%0

0.33 assist · 28%2

0.31 assist · 27%0

Likely point getters

5/6 correct

1.14 point · 68%2

1.05 point · 65%1

0.90 point · 59%3

0.73 point · 52%1

0.60 point · 45%1

0.53 point · 41%0

Tonight's matchup

Nikita Kucherov

TBL · R · 82 GP

vs

Mitch Marner

TOR · R · 80 GP

TBL	Stat	TOR
30	G	30
83	A	69
113	PTS	99
11.1%	S%	15.3%
20.1	TOI	21.3

TBL 5 – 5 TOR · goal diff (home) 0.40

Apr 11TOR4–3TBL2022-23 Dec 20TBL1–4TOR2022-23 Dec 3TOR3–4TBLOT2022-23 May 14TBL2–1TOR2021-22 May 12TOR3–4TBLOT2021-22 May 10TBL3–4TOR2021-22 May 8TOR3–7TBL2021-22 May 6TOR5–2TBL2021-22

Result

Three stars

1

C. Perry

R · TBL

1G · 2A · 3P

2

B. Point

C · TBL

2G · 0A · 2P

3

N. Kucherov

R · TBL

1G · 2A · 3P

Scoring summary

1st period

01:18
TBLP. Bellemare(1)
C. Perry (1)
TBL 1–0 TOR
07:18
TBLA. Cirelli(1)
B. Hagel (1)
TBL 2–0 TOR
19:56
TBLN. Kucherov(1)PP
M. Sergachev (1), A. Killorn (1)
TBL 3–0 TOR

2nd period

08:06
TORR. O'Reilly(1)PP
J. Tavares (1), M. Marner (1)
TBL 3–1 TOR
13:11
TORW. Nylander(1)PP
A. Matthews (1), M. Marner (2)
TBL 3–2 TOR
14:29
TBLB. Point(1)PP
N. Kucherov (1), A. Cirelli (1)
TBL 4–2 TOR
17:54
TBLC. Perry(1)PP
R. Colton (1)
TBL 5–2 TOR
19:58
TBLB. Point(2)PP
C. Perry (2), N. Kucherov (2)
TBL 6–2 TOR

3rd period

06:59
TBLR. Colton(1)
N. Perbix (1), I. Cole (1)
TBL 7–2 TOR
08:06
TORC. Jarnkrok(1)
M. Marner (3), A. Matthews (2)
TBL 7–3 TOR

Team comparison

TBL	Stat	TOR
34	Shots	31
4	Power play	2
39	Hits	42
20	Blocked shots	17
8	PIM	23

Actual result

Goal scorers(9)

Brayden PointTBL2

Corey PerryTBL1

Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL1

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(9)

Goal scorers(9)

Assists(12)

Points(17)