Lightning 4 - 7 Senators — Recap

Sat, Apr 8, 2023

11:00 PM

FinalRegular season

Canadian Tire Centre

TBL

4–7

OTT

W W W L L

L W W W L L

W L L L L W W W L L

L OL OL L OW

L OL OL L OW W

L OL OL L OW W L W L W

Retroactive prediction

Wrong winner predicted

TBL 52%48% OTT

Probable score

3 - 3

Regulation win (home)

39%

OT / shootout probability

16%

Elo home / away

1487 / 1525

Likely goal scorers

4/6 correct

Brady Tkachuk0.52 goal · 40%0

Tim Stützle0.47 goal · 37%0

Brayden Point0.41 goal · 33%1

Claude Giroux0.40 goal · 33%1

Alex DeBrincat0.39 goal · 32%1

Steven Stamkos0.35 goal · 29%1

Likely goal scorers

4/6 correct

Brady Tkachuk0.52 goal · 40%0

Tim Stützle0.47 goal · 37%0

Brayden Point0.41 goal · 33%1

Claude Giroux0.40 goal · 33%1

Alex DeBrincat0.39 goal · 32%1

Steven Stamkos0.35 goal · 29%1

Likely assists

4/6 correct

Tim Stützle0.41 assist · 34%2

Nikita Kucherov0.41 assist · 34%3

Drake Batherson0.34 assist · 29%0

Steven Stamkos0.32 assist · 27%2

Erik Brannstrom0.28 assist · 24%1

Claude Giroux0.26 assist · 23%0

Likely point getters

6/6 correct

Tim Stützle0.88 point · 59%2

Brady Tkachuk0.77 point · 54%1

Nikita Kucherov0.69 point · 50%3

Steven Stamkos0.67 point · 49%3

Claude Giroux0.65 point · 48%1

Brayden Point0.65 point · 48%1

Tonight's matchup

Nikita Kucherov

TBL · R · 82 GP

vs

Tim Stützle

OTT · C · 78 GP

TBL	Stat	OTT
30	G	39
83	A	51
113	PTS	90
11.1%	S%	17.1%
20.1	TOI	21.3

TBL 4 – 2 OTT · goal diff (home) 0.33

Mar 23TBL2–7OTT2022-23 Nov 1OTT3–4TBL2022-23 Mar 1OTT2–5TBL2021-22 Dec 16OTT1–2TBL2021-22 Dec 11TBL0–4OTT2021-22 Nov 6TBL5–3OTT2021-22

Result

Three stars

1

A. DeBrincat

R · OTT

1G · 1A · 2P

2

J. Sanderson

D · OTT

0G · 2A · 2P

3

S. Stamkos

C · TBL

1G · 2A · 3P

Scoring summary

1st period

00:30
OTTD. Batherson(22)
E. Brannstrom (15), A. DeBrincat (39)
TBL 0–1 OTT
02:51
TBLS. Stamkos(34)TYINGPP
V. Hedman (39), N. Kucherov (79)
TBL 1–1 OTT
10:57
OTTJ. Gauthier(9)
D. Gambrell (6), J. Sanderson (26)
TBL 1–2 OTT

2nd period

06:21
OTTP. Brown(4)
M. Kastelic (4), A. Zub (7)
TBL 1–3 OTT
13:38
TBLB. Hagel(29)PP
S. Stamkos (48), N. Kucherov (80)
TBL 2–3 OTT
14:06
TBLV. Hedman(9)TYINGPP
N. Kucherov (81), S. Stamkos (49)
TBL 3–3 OTT
19:43
OTTA. DeBrincat(27)PP
S. Pinto (14), T. Stützle (48)
TBL 3–4 OTT

3rd period

02:07
OTTE. Sokolov(1)
TBL 3–5 OTT
06:01
TBLB. Point(49)
V. Hedman (40), M. Eyssimont (10)
TBL 4–5 OTT
10:49
OTTM. Kastelic(7)
J. Sanderson (27)
TBL 4–6 OTT
19:41
OTTC. Giroux(32)EN
T. Stützle (49), B. Tkachuk (45)
TBL 4–7 OTT

Team comparison

TBL	Stat	OTT
24	Shots	40
3	Power play	1
25	Hits	18
11	Blocked shots	14
18	PIM	8

Actual result

Goal scorers(11)

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(11)

Goal scorers(11)

Assists(13)

Points(20)