Maple Leafs 5 - 4 Lightning — Recap

Mon, Apr 24, 2023

11:30 PM

FinalPlayoffs

Amalie Arena

TOR

5–4

OT

TBL

W W L W OW

OW W W L W OW

L W OL W OW W W L W OW

OL L W W L

OL L W W L L

OL L W W L L L L W W

Retroactive prediction

Correct winner predicted

TOR 59%41% TBL

Probable score

4 - 3

Regulation win (home)

25%

OT / shootout probability

14%

Elo home / away

1523 / 1550

Likely goal scorers

2/6 correct

0.68 goal · 49%2

0.61 goal · 46%0

0.52 goal · 41%0

0.50 goal · 39%0

0.45 goal · 36%0

0.43 goal · 35%2

Likely goal scorers

2/6 correct

0.68 goal · 49%2

0.61 goal · 46%0

0.52 goal · 41%0

0.50 goal · 39%0

0.45 goal · 36%0

0.43 goal · 35%2

Likely assists

3/6 correct

0.52 assist · 41%2

0.51 assist · 40%2

0.49 assist · 39%1

0.43 assist · 35%0

0.38 assist · 32%0

0.38 assist · 32%0

Likely point getters

5/6 correct

1.11 point · 67%2

0.96 point · 62%2

0.93 point · 60%3

0.90 point · 59%0

0.83 point · 56%2

0.82 point · 56%1

Tonight's matchup

Mitch Marner

TOR · R · 80 GP

vs

Nikita Kucherov

TBL · R · 82 GP

TOR	Stat	TBL
30	G	30
69	A	83
99	PTS	113
15.3%	S%	11.1%
21.3	TOI	20.1

TOR 5 – 5 TBL · goal diff (home) 0.00

Apr 22TOR4–3TBLOT2022-23 Apr 20TBL2–7TOR2022-23 Apr 18TBL7–3TOR2022-23 Apr 11TOR4–3TBL2022-23 Dec 20TBL1–4TOR2022-23 Dec 3TOR3–4TBLOT2022-23 May 14TBL2–1TOR2021-22 May 12TOR3–4TBLOT2021-22

Result

Three stars

1

A. Kerfoot

C · TOR

1G · 0A · 1P

2

A. Killorn

L · TBL

2G · 0A · 2P

3

A. Matthews

C · TOR

2G · 0A · 2P

Scoring summary

1st period

09:57
TBLA. Killorn(1)PP
N. Kucherov (4), V. Hedman (1)
TOR 0–1 TBL
18:27
TBLM. Sergachev(1)
N. Kucherov (5), B. Point (2)
TOR 0–2 TBL

2nd period

04:51
TORN. Acciari(2)
J. Holl (1), R. O'Reilly (4)
TOR 1–2 TBL
11:31
TBLS. Stamkos(1)
V. Hedman (2), N. Perbix (2)
TOR 1–3 TBL
18:49
TBLA. Killorn(2)
B. Hagel (3), M. Sergachev (2)
TOR 1–4 TBL

3rd period

09:44
TORA. Matthews(2)
M. Marner (7), W. Nylander (3)
TOR 2–4 TBL
12:29
TORA. Matthews(3)PP
W. Nylander (4), M. Giordano (1)
TOR 3–4 TBL
16:04
TORM. Rielly(2)TYING
M. Marner (8), R. O'Reilly (5)
TOR 4–4 TBL

Overtime 1

04:14
TORA. Kerfoot(1)PP
M. Giordano (2), W. Nylander (5)
TOR 5–4 TBL

Team comparison

TOR	Stat	TBL
37	Shots	31
2	Power play	1
46	Hits	45
28	Blocked shots	24
8	PIM	10

Actual result

Goal scorers(7)

Auston MatthewsTOR2

Alex KillornTBL2

Alexander KerfootTOR1

Noel AcciariTOR1

Morgan RiellyTOR1

Steven StamkosTBL1

Mikhail SergachevTBL1

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(7)

Goal scorers(7)

Assists(11)

Points(17)