Sat, Apr 22, 2023
11:00 PM
FinalPlayoffs
Amalie Arena
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
TOR 57%43% TBL
Probable score
4 - 3
Regulation win (home)
28%
OT / shootout probability
14%
Elo home / away
1524 / 1549
Likely goal scorers
1/6 correct
Auston Matthews0.65 goal · 48%1
William Nylander0.59 goal · 45%0
Brayden Point0.52 goal · 40%0
John Tavares0.50 goal · 39%0
Alex Killorn0.45 goal · 36%0
Mitch Marner0.43 goal · 35%0Likely goal scorers
1/6 correctAuston Matthews0.65 goal · 48%1William Nylander0.59 goal · 45%0Brayden Point0.52 goal · 40%0John Tavares0.50 goal · 39%0Alex Killorn0.45 goal · 36%0Mitch Marner0.43 goal · 35%0Likely assists
3/6 correct
Nikita Kucherov0.54 assist · 42%1
Mikhail Sergachev0.51 assist · 40%0Mitch Marner0.49 assist · 39%2Auston Matthews0.41 assist · 34%0
Steven Stamkos0.39 assist · 32%1John Tavares0.36 assist · 31%0Likely point getters
4/6 correctAuston Matthews1.06 point · 65%1Mitch Marner0.93 point · 60%2William Nylander0.89 point · 59%1John Tavares0.86 point · 58%0Nikita Kucherov0.86 point · 58%1Brayden Point0.85 point · 57%0Tonight's matchup
| TOR | Stat | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | G | 30 |
| 69 | A | 83 |
| 99 | PTS | 113 |
| 15.3% | S% | 11.1% |
| 21.3 | TOI | 20.1 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 03:24
M. Knies (1), R. O'Reilly (2)
TOR 1–0 TBL - 04:50
A. Killorn (2), B. Hagel (2)
TOR 1–1 TBL - 11:10
M. Marner (5), C. Jarnkrok (1)
TOR 2–1 TBL - 19:28
C. Perry (3), R. Colton (2)
TOR 2–2 TBL
2nd period
- 13:34
N. Kucherov (3), S. Stamkos (2)
TOR 2–3 TBL
3rd period
- 19:00
W. Nylander (2), M. Marner (6)
TOR 3–3 TBL
Overtime 1
- 19:15TORM. Rielly(1)
R. O'Reilly (3)
TOR 4–3 TBL
Team comparison
| TOR | Stat | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | Shots | 39 |
| 62 | Hits | 61 |
| 26 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 18 | PIM | 18 |
