Maple Leafs 4 - 3 Lightning — Recap

Sat, Apr 22, 2023

11:00 PM

FinalPlayoffs

Amalie Arena

TOR

4–3

OT

TBL

OW W W L W

W OW W W L W

W L W OL W OW W W L W

L W W L L

L W W L L L

L W W L L L L W W W

Retroactive prediction

Correct winner predicted

Exact score predicted

TOR 57%43% TBL

Probable score

4 - 3

Regulation win (home)

28%

OT / shootout probability

14%

Elo home / away

1524 / 1549

Likely goal scorers

1/6 correct

0.65 goal · 48%1

0.59 goal · 45%0

0.52 goal · 40%0

0.50 goal · 39%0

0.45 goal · 36%0

0.43 goal · 35%0

Likely goal scorers

1/6 correct

0.65 goal · 48%1

0.59 goal · 45%0

0.52 goal · 40%0

0.50 goal · 39%0

0.45 goal · 36%0

0.43 goal · 35%0

Likely assists

3/6 correct

0.54 assist · 42%1

0.51 assist · 40%0

0.49 assist · 39%2

0.41 assist · 34%0

0.39 assist · 32%1

0.36 assist · 31%0

Likely point getters

4/6 correct

1.06 point · 65%1

0.93 point · 60%2

0.89 point · 59%1

0.86 point · 58%0

0.86 point · 58%1

0.85 point · 57%0

Tonight's matchup

Mitch Marner

TOR · R · 80 GP

vs

Nikita Kucherov

TBL · R · 82 GP

TOR	Stat	TBL
30	G	30
69	A	83
99	PTS	113
15.3%	S%	11.1%
21.3	TOI	20.1

TOR 5 – 5 TBL · goal diff (home) -0.20

Apr 20TBL2–7TOR2022-23 Apr 18TBL7–3TOR2022-23 Apr 11TOR4–3TBL2022-23 Dec 20TBL1–4TOR2022-23 Dec 3TOR3–4TBLOT2022-23 May 14TBL2–1TOR2021-22 May 12TOR3–4TBLOT2021-22 May 10TBL3–4TOR2021-22

Result

Three stars

1

M. Rielly

D · TOR

1G · 0A · 1P

2

B. Hagel

L · TBL

1G · 1A · 2P

3

D. Raddysh

D · TBL

1G · 0A · 1P

Scoring summary

1st period

03:24
TORN. Acciari(1)
M. Knies (1), R. O'Reilly (2)
TOR 1–0 TBL
04:50
TBLA. Cirelli(2)TYING
A. Killorn (2), B. Hagel (2)
TOR 1–1 TBL
11:10
TORA. Matthews(1)
M. Marner (5), C. Jarnkrok (1)
TOR 2–1 TBL
19:28
TBLB. Hagel(1)TYING
C. Perry (3), R. Colton (2)
TOR 2–2 TBL

2nd period

13:34
TBLD. Raddysh(1)
N. Kucherov (3), S. Stamkos (2)
TOR 2–3 TBL

3rd period

19:00
TORR. O'Reilly(2)TYING
W. Nylander (2), M. Marner (6)
TOR 3–3 TBL

Overtime 1

19:15
TORM. Rielly(1)
R. O'Reilly (3)
TOR 4–3 TBL

Team comparison

TOR	Stat	TBL
27	Shots	39
62	Hits	61
26	Blocked shots	15
18	PIM	18

Actual result

Goal scorers(7)

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(7)

Goal scorers(7)

Assists(11)

Points(16)