Tue, May 2, 2023
11:00 PM
FinalPlayoffs
Scotiabank Arena
Retroactive prediction
Wrong winner predicted
FLA 36%64% TOR
Probable score
3 - 4
Regulation win (home)
61%
OT / shootout probability
14%
Elo home / away
1549 / 1522
Likely goal scorers
1/6 correct
Auston Matthews0.95 goal · 61%0
William Nylander0.74 goal · 52%0
John Tavares0.53 goal · 41%0
Mitch Marner0.46 goal · 37%0
Carter Verhaeghe0.45 goal · 36%1
Ryan O'Reilly0.42 goal · 35%0Likely goal scorers
1/6 correctAuston Matthews0.95 goal · 61%0William Nylander0.74 goal · 52%0John Tavares0.53 goal · 41%0Mitch Marner0.46 goal · 37%0Carter Verhaeghe0.45 goal · 36%1Ryan O'Reilly0.42 goal · 35%0Likely assists
3/6 correctMitch Marner0.62 assist · 46%0
Aleksander Barkov0.43 assist · 35%2Auston Matthews0.43 assist · 35%1John Tavares0.43 assist · 35%0
Brandon Montour0.42 assist · 34%0
Morgan Rielly0.41 assist · 33%1Likely point getters
3/6 correctAuston Matthews1.38 point · 75%1William Nylander1.08 point · 66%0Mitch Marner1.08 point · 66%0John Tavares0.96 point · 62%0
Matthew Tkachuk0.77 point · 53%3Ryan O'Reilly0.76 point · 53%1Tonight's matchup
| FLA | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | G | 30 |
| 69 | A | 69 |
| 109 | PTS | 99 |
| 12.4% | S% | 15.3% |
| 20.4 | TOI | 21.3 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 09:25
M. Tkachuk (7), S. Bennett (3)
FLA 1–0 TOR
2nd period
- 07:58
A. Ekblad (1), M. Tkachuk (8)
FLA 2–0 TOR - 08:09TORM. Knies(1)
A. Matthews (5), M. Rielly (6)
FLA 2–1 TOR - 14:51
C. Jarnkrok (2), R. O'Reilly (6)
FLA 2–2 TOR - 17:47
A. Duclair (2), A. Barkov (6)
FLA 3–2 TOR
3rd period
- 12:24
M. Tkachuk (9), A. Barkov (7)
FLA 4–2 TOR
Team comparison
| FLA | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Shots | 36 |
| 47 | Hits | 36 |
| 8 | Blocked shots | 13 |
| 10 | PIM | 2 |
