Sun, Mar 22, 2026
07:00 PM
FinalRegular season
PPG Paints Arena
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
CAR 54%46% PIT
Probable score
4 - 4
Regulation win (home)
39%
OT / shootout probability
14%
Elo home / away
1511 / 1574
1 injured/absent player(s) excluded from predictions.
Likely goal scorers
2/6 correct
Bryan Rust0.46 goal · 37%0
Sidney Crosby0.35 goal · 30%0
Erik Karlsson0.33 goal · 28%0
Seth Jarvis0.33 goal · 28%1
Anthony Mantha0.32 goal · 27%0
Sebastian Aho0.29 goal · 25%1Likely goal scorers
2/6 correctBryan Rust0.46 goal · 37%0Sidney Crosby0.35 goal · 30%0Erik Karlsson0.33 goal · 28%0Seth Jarvis0.33 goal · 28%1Anthony Mantha0.32 goal · 27%0Sebastian Aho0.29 goal · 25%1Likely assists
3/6 correctSebastian Aho0.46 assist · 37%0Erik Karlsson0.44 assist · 36%0
Nikolaj Ehlers0.38 assist · 31%1
Evgeni Malkin0.35 assist · 30%0Bryan Rust0.34 assist · 28%1Sidney Crosby0.33 assist · 28%1Likely point getters
5/6 correctBryan Rust0.79 point · 55%1Erik Karlsson0.78 point · 54%0Sebastian Aho0.75 point · 53%1Sidney Crosby0.69 point · 50%1Seth Jarvis0.66 point · 48%3Nikolaj Ehlers0.64 point · 47%2Tonight's matchup
| CAR | Stat | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | G | 29 |
| 53 | A | 45 |
| 80 | PTS | 74 |
| 13.8% | S% | 18.1% |
| 19.6 | TOI | 19.2 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 00:47
S. Jarvis (29)
CAR 1–0 PIT
2nd period
- 06:24
S. Jarvis (30), A. Nikishin (18)
CAR 2–0 PIT - 09:15
E. Robinson (6)
CAR 3–0 PIT - 17:20
N. Ehlers (37), A. Svechnikov (35)
CAR 4–0 PIT
3rd period
- 14:56
B. Rust (31), S. Crosby (35)
CAR 4–1 PIT - 18:56
J. Blake (24), L. Stankoven (19)
CAR 5–1 PIT
Team comparison
| CAR | Stat | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Shots | 19 |
| 3 | Power play | — |
| 21 | Hits | 29 |
| 14 | Blocked shots | 12 |
| 8 | PIM | 14 |
