Sun, Mar 1, 2026
11:30 PM
FinalRegular season
UBS Arena
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
FLA 49%51% NYI
Probable score
3 - 3
Regulation win (home)
45%
OT / shootout probability
16%
Elo home / away
1493 / 1546
Likely goal scorers
3/6 correct
Matthew Tkachuk0.39 goal · 32%0
Matthew Schaefer0.31 goal · 27%2
Bo Horvat0.29 goal · 26%1
Sam Reinhart0.28 goal · 24%1
Brad Marchand0.27 goal · 24%0
Jean-Gabriel Pageau0.26 goal · 23%0Likely goal scorers
3/6 correctMatthew Tkachuk0.39 goal · 32%0Matthew Schaefer0.31 goal · 27%2Bo Horvat0.29 goal · 26%1Sam Reinhart0.28 goal · 24%1Brad Marchand0.27 goal · 24%0Jean-Gabriel Pageau0.26 goal · 23%0Likely assists
4/6 correct
Mathew Barzal0.35 assist · 29%1Matthew Tkachuk0.24 assist · 21%3
Tony DeAngelo0.23 assist · 21%2Sam Reinhart0.22 assist · 20%0
Anton Lundell0.22 assist · 20%0Matthew Schaefer0.20 assist · 18%1Likely point getters
5/6 correctMatthew Tkachuk0.63 point · 47%3Mathew Barzal0.59 point · 45%1Matthew Schaefer0.52 point · 40%3Sam Reinhart0.50 point · 39%1Bo Horvat0.49 point · 39%1Brad Marchand0.46 point · 37%0Tonight's matchup
| FLA | Stat | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | G | 19 |
| 32 | A | 53 |
| 61 | PTS | 72 |
| 17.5% | S% | 10.3% |
| 21.3 | TOI | 20.7 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 03:44
A. Greer (11), S. Bobrovsky (2)
FLA 1–0 NYI - 14:54
A. Ekblad (19), M. Tkachuk (6)
FLA 2–0 NYI - 18:01
R. Pulock (21), M. Barzal (38)
FLA 2–1 NYI
2nd period
- 07:28
S. Holmstrom (19), T. DeAngelo (23)
FLA 2–2 NYI - 12:04
M. Tkachuk (7)
FLA 3–2 NYI - 17:14
M. Schaefer (24)
FLA 3–3 NYI
3rd period
- 10:29
O. Palat (9)
FLA 3–4 NYI - 18:02
A. Ekblad (20), M. Tkachuk (8)
FLA 4–4 NYI - 19:28NYIA. Lee(14)
T. DeAngelo (24), A. Pelech (8)
FLA 4–5 NYI
Team comparison
| FLA | Stat | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | Shots | 26 |
| 1 | Power play | — |
| 23 | Hits | 25 |
| 13 | Blocked shots | 17 |
| 2 | PIM | 6 |
