Sat, Nov 29, 2025
12:00 AM
FinalRegular season
PPG Paints Arena
Retroactive prediction
Wrong winner predicted
TOR 48%52% PIT
Probable score
3 - 3
Regulation win (home)
46%
OT / shootout probability
16%
Elo home / away
1484 / 1527
Likely goal scorers
2/6 correct
William Nylander0.15 goal · 14%0
Sidney Crosby0.12 goal · 11%1
Auston Matthews0.12 goal · 11%1
John Tavares0.11 goal · 11%0
Bryan Rust0.11 goal · 10%0
Matthew Knies0.09 goal · 8%0Likely goal scorers
2/6 correctWilliam Nylander0.15 goal · 14%0Sidney Crosby0.12 goal · 11%1Auston Matthews0.12 goal · 11%1John Tavares0.11 goal · 11%0Bryan Rust0.11 goal · 10%0Matthew Knies0.09 goal · 8%0Likely assists
5/6 correctWilliam Nylander0.11 assist · 10%1
Oliver Ekman-Larsson0.10 assist · 10%1
Morgan Rielly0.10 assist · 9%2
Erik Karlsson0.09 assist · 9%0Matthew Knies0.09 assist · 9%2Auston Matthews0.09 assist · 9%1Likely point getters
5/6 correctWilliam Nylander0.25 point · 22%1Auston Matthews0.20 point · 18%2Sidney Crosby0.20 point · 18%2John Tavares0.20 point · 18%0Bryan Rust0.18 point · 16%1Matthew Knies0.18 point · 16%2Tonight's matchup
| TOR | Stat | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | G | 29 |
| 49 | A | 45 |
| 79 | PTS | 74 |
| 19.2% | S% | 18.1% |
| 19.4 | TOI | 19.2 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 06:46
M. Knies (19), A. Matthews (7)
TOR 1–0 PIT - 08:14
S. Crosby (11), B. Rust (11)
TOR 1–1 PIT - 11:06TORE. Cowan(3)
W. Nylander (21), M. Rielly (15)
TOR 2–1 PIT
2nd period
- 02:24TORB. McMann(6)
M. Rielly (16), O. Ekman-Larsson (16)
TOR 3–1 PIT - 04:53TORD. Joshua(3)
N. Roy (5), T. Stecher (2)
TOR 4–1 PIT - 13:58
M. Domi (4), B. McMann (4)
TOR 5–1 PIT
3rd period
- 04:37
K. Hayes (2)
TOR 5–2 PIT - 07:14
M. Domi (5), M. Knies (20)
TOR 6–2 PIT - 13:16TOR 7–2 PIT
Team comparison
| TOR | Stat | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Shots | 35 |
| 1 | Power play | 1 |
| 19 | Hits | 16 |
| 26 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 10 | PIM | 10 |
