Lightning 1 - 2 Red Wings — Recap

Fri, Oct 17, 2025

11:00 PM

FinalRegular season

Little Caesars Arena

TBL

1–2

DET

L L L W OL

L L L L W OL

L L L W L L L L W OL

W W W L OL

W W W L OL W

W W W L OL W W OW L L

Retroactive prediction

Correct winner predicted

TBL 43%57% DET

Probable score

3 - 4

Regulation win (home)

59%

OT / shootout probability

14%

Elo home / away

1492 / 1552

Likely goal scorers

1/6 correct

0.04 goal · 4%0

0.03 goal · 3%0

0.03 goal · 3%0

0.03 goal · 2%1

0.02 goal · 2%0

0.02 goal · 2%0

Likely goal scorers

1/6 correct

0.04 goal · 4%0

0.03 goal · 3%0

0.03 goal · 3%0

0.03 goal · 2%1

0.02 goal · 2%0

0.02 goal · 2%0

Likely assists

2/6 correct

0.03 assist · 3%0

0.03 assist · 3%0

0.02 assist · 2%1

0.02 assist · 2%0

0.02 assist · 2%0

0.01 assist · 1%1

Likely point getters

1/6 correct

0.07 point · 6%0

0.06 point · 5%0

0.05 point · 5%2

0.03 point · 3%0

0.03 point · 3%0

0.03 point · 3%0

Tonight's matchup

Jake Guentzel

TBL · C · 81 GP

Alex DeBrincat

DET · R · 82 GP

TBL	Stat	DET
38	G	41
50	A	44
88	PTS	85
17.3%	S%	14.3%
20.2	TOI	18.5

TBL 2 – 5 DET · goal diff (home) 0.14

Apr 11DET4–3TBLOT2024-25 Feb 8TBL6–3DET2024-25 Jan 25TBL0–2DET2024-25 Jan 18DET1–5TBL2024-25 Apr 1DET4–2TBL2023-24 Jan 21TBL1–2DET2023-24 Oct 14TBL4–6DET2023-24

Result

Three stars

D. Larkin

C · DET

1G · 1A · 2P

J. Gibson

G · DET

0G · 0A · 0P

A. Vasilevskiy

G · TBL

0G · 0A · 0P

Scoring summary

1st period

13:02
DETA. Sandin-Pellikka(1)
D. Larkin (4), M. Appleton (1)
TBL 0–1 DET

3rd period

16:17
TBLJ. Moser(1)TYING
V. Hedman (4), C. Geekie (1)
TBL 1–1 DET

Overtime 1

03:36
DETD. Larkin(3)
J. Compher (1)
TBL 1–2 DET

Team comparison

TBL	Stat	DET
32	Shots	31
20	Hits	27
13	Blocked shots	22
6	PIM	6

Actual result

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(3)

Goal scorers(3)

Assists(5)

Points(7)