Avalanche 3 - 6 Lightning — Recap

Thu, Feb 15, 2024

12:00 AM

FinalRegular season

Amalie Arena

COL

3–6

TBL

OL L L L W

W OL L L L W

W L W W W OL L L L W

OW W L L W

OW W L L W W

OW W L L W W W L W W

Retroactive prediction

Correct winner predicted

COL 44%56% TBL

Probable score

3 - 4

Regulation win (home)

53%

OT / shootout probability

14%

Elo home / away

1528 / 1559

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

0.41 goal · 34%1

0.38 goal · 31%2

0.36 goal · 30%0

0.31 goal · 27%0

0.30 goal · 26%1

0.26 goal · 23%0

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

0.41 goal · 34%1

0.38 goal · 31%2

0.36 goal · 30%0

0.31 goal · 27%0

0.30 goal · 26%1

0.26 goal · 23%0

Likely assists

5/6 correct

0.53 assist · 41%1

0.33 assist · 28%1

0.30 assist · 26%2

0.26 assist · 23%2

0.25 assist · 22%0

0.24 assist · 22%1

Likely point getters

6/6 correct

0.91 point · 60%3

0.66 point · 48%2

0.63 point · 47%2

0.61 point · 46%2

0.49 point · 39%2

0.47 point · 37%1

Tonight's matchup

Nathan MacKinnon

COL · C · 82 GP

vs

Nikita Kucherov

TBL · R · 81 GP

COL	Stat	TBL
51	G	44
89	A	100
140	PTS	144
12.6%	S%	14.4%
22.8	TOI	21.7

COL 6 – 4 TBL · goal diff (home) -0.30

Nov 27TBL1–4COL2023-24 Feb 14TBL4–3COLSO2022-23 Feb 9COL0–5TBL2022-23 Jun 26COL2–1TBL2021-22 Jun 24TBL3–2COL2021-22 Jun 22COL3–2TBLOT2021-22 Jun 20COL2–6TBL2021-22 Jun 18TBL0–7COL2021-22

Result

Three stars

1

N. Kucherov

R · TBL

2G · 1A · 3P

2

S. Stamkos

C · TBL

1G · 1A · 2P

3

B. Point

C · TBL

1G · 1A · 2P

Scoring summary

1st period

15:08
COLB. Byram(7)
M. Rantanen (41), N. MacKinnon (56)
COL 1–0 TBL
17:18
TBLB. Point(26)TYING
COL 1–1 TBL
18:25
TBLN. Kucherov(35)
B. Hagel (31)
COL 1–2 TBL

2nd period

15:03
COLB. Byram(8)TYING
R. Colton (18), A. Lehkonen (9)
COL 2–2 TBL

3rd period

03:40
COLA. Lehkonen(6)PP
N. MacKinnon (57), J. Drouin (21)
COL 3–2 TBL
04:00
TBLS. Stamkos(23)TYING
N. Kucherov (57), V. Hedman (44)
COL 3–3 TBL
08:13
TBLN. Kucherov(36)
B. Point (30), S. Stamkos (27)
COL 3–4 TBL
19:28
TBLA. Cirelli(12)EN
B. Hagel (32), E. Cernak (7)
COL 3–5 TBL
19:34
TBLN. Perbix(2)EN
E. Lilleberg (3), M. Eyssimont (8)
COL 3–6 TBL

Team comparison

COL	Stat	TBL
31	Shots	39
1	Power play	—
26	Hits	27
15	Blocked shots	17
4	PIM	6

Actual result

Goal scorers(7)

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(7)

Goal scorers(7)

Assists(13)

Points(16)