Lightning 1 - 4 Avalanche — Recap

Mon, Nov 27, 2023

02:00 AM

FinalRegular season

Ball Arena

TBL

1–4

COL

W W OW OL W

L W W OW OL W

OL W L L L W W OW OL W

W W W L W

W W W L W W

W W W L W W W L L W

Retroactive prediction

Correct winner predicted

TBL 37%63% COL

Probable score

3 - 4

Regulation win (home)

57%

OT / shootout probability

14%

Elo home / away

1564 / 1522

Likely goal scorers

1/6 correct

0.15 goal · 14%0

0.15 goal · 14%1

0.14 goal · 13%0

0.14 goal · 13%0

0.13 goal · 12%0

0.12 goal · 11%0

Likely goal scorers

1/6 correct

0.15 goal · 14%0

0.15 goal · 14%1

0.14 goal · 13%0

0.14 goal · 13%0

0.13 goal · 12%0

0.12 goal · 11%0

Likely assists

5/6 correct

0.20 assist · 18%1

0.18 assist · 17%2

0.16 assist · 15%1

0.11 assist · 11%1

0.11 assist · 11%1

0.09 assist · 9%0

Likely point getters

5/6 correct

0.32 point · 27%2

0.29 point · 26%1

0.27 point · 23%2

0.27 point · 23%1

0.24 point · 21%1

0.22 point · 20%0

Tonight's matchup

Nikita Kucherov

TBL · R · 81 GP

Nathan MacKinnon

COL · C · 82 GP

TBL	Stat	COL
44	G	51
100	A	89
144	PTS	140
14.4%	S%	12.6%
21.7	TOI	22.8

TBL 4 – 6 COL · goal diff (home) 0.10

Feb 14TBL4–3COLSO2022-23 Feb 9COL0–5TBL2022-23 Jun 26COL2–1TBL2021-22 Jun 24TBL3–2COL2021-22 Jun 22COL3–2TBLOT2021-22 Jun 20COL2–6TBL2021-22 Jun 18TBL0–7COL2021-22 Jun 15TBL3–4COLOT2021-22

Result

Three stars

R. Johansen

C · COL

2G · 0A · 2P

A. Georgiev

G · COL

0G · 0A · 0P

C. Makar

D · COL

1G · 1A · 2P

Scoring summary

1st period

07:12
COLR. Johansen(8)
TBL 0–1 COL

2nd period

01:48
COLR. Johansen(9)
T. Tatar (8), C. Makar (26)
TBL 0–2 COL
03:35
COLC. Makar(6)PP
M. Rantanen (15), N. MacKinnon (20)
TBL 0–3 COL
19:29
TBLA. Cirelli(3)
V. Hedman (19), N. Kucherov (21)
TBL 1–3 COL

3rd period

16:46
COLV. Nichushkin(10)EN
N. MacKinnon (21)
TBL 1–4 COL

Team comparison

TBL	Stat	COL
39	Shots	23
—	Power play	1
14	Hits	21
12	Blocked shots	18
40	PIM	26

Actual result

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(4)

Goal scorers(4)

Assists(6)

Points(9)