Maple Leafs 5 - 4 Senators — Recap

Sat, Mar 18, 2023

11:00 PM

FinalRegular season

Canadian Tire Centre

TOR

5–4

SO

OTT

W W L OL W

L W W L OL W

OW W L W L W W L OL W

L L L L W

L L L L W L

L L L L W L W W W W

Retroactive prediction

Correct winner predicted

TOR 60%40% OTT

Probable score

4 - 3

Regulation win (home)

27%

OT / shootout probability

14%

Elo home / away

1490 / 1543

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

0.49 goal · 39%1

0.47 goal · 37%0

0.44 goal · 36%0

0.36 goal · 30%1

0.35 goal · 30%0

0.33 goal · 28%2

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

0.49 goal · 39%1

0.47 goal · 37%0

0.44 goal · 36%0

0.36 goal · 30%1

0.35 goal · 30%0

0.33 goal · 28%2

Likely assists

5/6 correct

0.60 assist · 45%1

0.43 assist · 35%1

0.33 assist · 28%0

0.30 assist · 26%2

0.29 assist · 25%2

0.27 assist · 24%1

Likely point getters

5/6 correct

0.96 point · 62%2

0.92 point · 60%2

0.75 point · 53%2

0.74 point · 52%2

0.68 point · 49%0

0.59 point · 45%1

Tonight's matchup

Mitch Marner

TOR · R · 80 GP

vs

Tim Stützle

OTT · C · 78 GP

TOR	Stat	OTT
30	G	39
69	A	51
99	PTS	90
15.3%	S%	17.1%
21.3	TOI	21.3

TOR 6 – 4 OTT · goal diff (home) -0.50

Jan 27OTT6–2TOR2022-23 Oct 15OTT2–3TOR2022-23 Apr 16TOR5–4OTTOT2021-22 Jan 1OTT0–6TOR2021-22 Oct 16OTT1–3TOR2021-22 Oct 14TOR2–3OTT2021-22 May 12TOR3–4OTTOT2020-21 Apr 10OTT5–6TOR2020-21

Result

Three stars

1

C. Jarnkrok

C · TOR

2G · 0A · 2P

2

M. Murray

G · TOR

0G · 0A · 0P

3

B. Tkachuk

L · OTT

2G · 0A · 2P

Scoring summary

1st period

03:11
TORJ. McCabe(3)
M. Marner (63), J. Tavares (38)
TOR 1–0 OTT
14:28
OTTJ. Gauthier(8)TYING
S. Pinto (12), E. Brannstrom (10)
TOR 1–1 OTT

2nd period

05:32
OTTT. Stützle(35)SH
T. Hamonic (11)
TOR 1–2 OTT
06:09
TORM. Marner(26)TYINGPP
M. Rielly (32), J. Tavares (39)
TOR 2–2 OTT
09:16
TORC. Jarnkrok(16)
A. Matthews (37), T. Liljegren (11)
TOR 3–2 OTT

3rd period

09:39
TORC. Jarnkrok(17)
A. Matthews (38), A. Kerfoot (21)
TOR 4–2 OTT
10:42
OTTB. Tkachuk(29)
T. Stützle (43), T. Hamonic (12)
TOR 4–3 OTT
19:49
OTTB. Tkachuk(30)TYINGPP
C. Giroux (39), T. Chabot (28)
TOR 4–4 OTT

Shootout

00:00
TORA. Kerfoot
TOR 5–4 OTT

Team comparison

TOR	Stat	OTT
29	Shots	52
1	Power play	1
25	Hits	34
20	Blocked shots	16
6	PIM	4

Actual result

Goal scorers(6)

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(6)

Goal scorers(6)

Assists(12)

Points(16)