Mon, Mar 13, 2023
11:30 PM
FinalRegular season
Scotiabank Arena
Retroactive prediction
Wrong winner predicted
BUF 29%71% TOR
Probable score
3 - 5
Regulation win (home)
73%
OT / shootout probability
10%
Elo home / away
1544 / 1495
Likely goal scorers
2/6 correct
Auston Matthews0.66 goal · 48%1
John Tavares0.63 goal · 47%0
William Nylander0.58 goal · 44%1
Mitch Marner0.48 goal · 38%0
Jeff Skinner0.33 goal · 28%0
Michael Bunting0.32 goal · 28%0Likely goal scorers
2/6 correctAuston Matthews0.66 goal · 48%1John Tavares0.63 goal · 47%0William Nylander0.58 goal · 44%1Mitch Marner0.48 goal · 38%0Jeff Skinner0.33 goal · 28%0Michael Bunting0.32 goal · 28%0Likely assists
2/6 correctMitch Marner0.79 assist · 55%2William Nylander0.65 assist · 48%0
Erik Gustafsson0.53 assist · 41%0
Morgan Rielly0.41 assist · 33%0Auston Matthews0.38 assist · 32%2John Tavares0.34 assist · 29%0Likely point getters
4/6 correctMitch Marner1.27 point · 72%2William Nylander1.23 point · 71%1Auston Matthews1.04 point · 65%3John Tavares0.97 point · 62%0Erik Gustafsson0.65 point · 48%0
Tage Thompson0.58 point · 44%1Tonight's matchup
| BUF | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 47 | G | 30 |
| 47 | A | 69 |
| 94 | PTS | 99 |
| 15.9% | S% | 15.3% |
| 18.6 | TOI | 21.3 |
BUF 3 – 3 TOR · goal diff (home) -0.50
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
2nd period
- 01:11
A. Kerfoot (20), M. Marner (60)
BUF 0–1 TOR - 04:13
M. Marner (61), A. Matthews (35)
BUF 0–2 TOR - 14:58BUFJ. Quinn(13)
J. Peterka (16), O. Power (21)
BUF 1–2 TOR
3rd period
- 03:39
T. Thompson (45), O. Power (22)
BUF 2–2 TOR - 09:39
R. Stillman (6), J. Peterka (17)
BUF 3–2 TOR - 11:19
J. Skinner (38), D. Cozens (31)
BUF 4–2 TOR - 18:58
A. Matthews (36)
BUF 4–3 TOR
Team comparison
| BUF | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Shots | 28 |
| 1 | Power play | — |
| 24 | Hits | 30 |
| 10 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 2 | PIM | 6 |
