Tue, Feb 21, 2023
12:30 AM
FinalRegular season
KeyBank Center
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
TOR 55%45% BUF
Probable score
4 - 3
Regulation win (home)
33%
OT / shootout probability
15%
Elo home / away
1506 / 1534
Likely goal scorers
3/6 correct
Auston Matthews0.39 goal · 32%0
John Tavares0.36 goal · 30%1
William Nylander0.35 goal · 30%1
Tage Thompson0.26 goal · 23%0
Michael Bunting0.25 goal · 22%1
Dylan Cozens0.24 goal · 22%0Likely goal scorers
3/6 correctAuston Matthews0.39 goal · 32%0John Tavares0.36 goal · 30%1William Nylander0.35 goal · 30%1Tage Thompson0.26 goal · 23%0Michael Bunting0.25 goal · 22%1Dylan Cozens0.24 goal · 22%0Likely assists
5/6 correct
Mitch Marner0.35 assist · 30%5
Rasmus Dahlin0.28 assist · 24%1William Nylander0.25 assist · 22%1John Tavares0.25 assist · 22%3Auston Matthews0.25 assist · 22%0
Morgan Rielly0.24 assist · 21%1Likely point getters
5/6 correctAuston Matthews0.64 point · 47%0John Tavares0.61 point · 46%4William Nylander0.60 point · 45%2Mitch Marner0.59 point · 44%5Tage Thompson0.45 point · 36%1
Alex Tuch0.40 point · 33%2Tonight's matchup
| TOR | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | G | 47 |
| 69 | A | 47 |
| 99 | PTS | 94 |
| 15.3% | S% | 15.9% |
| 21.3 | TOI | 18.6 |
TOR 2 – 3 BUF · goal diff (home) 1.20
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 03:51
M. Marner (47), J. Tavares (32)
TOR 1–0 BUF - 04:28
M. Marner (48), J. Tavares (33)
TOR 2–0 BUF - 07:14
R. O'Reilly (9), M. Marner (49)
TOR 3–0 BUF - 12:09
M. Rielly (27), W. Nylander (36)
TOR 4–0 BUF
2nd period
- 14:36
J. Tavares (34), M. Marner (50)
TOR 5–0 BUF
3rd period
- 05:12BUFJ. Quinn(9)
C. Mittelstadt (25)
TOR 5–1 BUF - 08:01BUFA. Tuch(27)
T. Thompson (36), H. Jokiharju (8)
TOR 5–2 BUF - 16:29
R. Dahlin (46), A. Tuch (34)
TOR 5–3 BUF - 18:50
M. Marner (51)
TOR 6–3 BUF
Team comparison
| TOR | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Shots | 32 |
| 1 | Power play | — |
| 16 | Hits | 17 |
| 18 | Blocked shots | 7 |
| 4 | PIM | 6 |
