Mon, Apr 3, 2017
11:00 PM
FinalRegular season
KeyBank Center
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
TOR 53%47% BUF
Probable score
2 - 1
Regulation win (home)
33%
OT / shootout probability
25%
Elo home / away
1428 / 1477
Likely goal scorers
4/6 correct
Auston Matthews0.20 goal · 18%1
Evander Kane0.18 goal · 17%0
Jack Eichel0.18 goal · 16%1
James van Riemsdyk0.11 goal · 11%1
Ryan O'Reilly0.11 goal · 10%1
Mitch Marner0.10 goal · 9%0Likely goal scorers
4/6 correctAuston Matthews0.20 goal · 18%1Evander Kane0.18 goal · 17%0Jack Eichel0.18 goal · 16%1James van Riemsdyk0.11 goal · 11%1Ryan O'Reilly0.11 goal · 10%1Mitch Marner0.10 goal · 9%0Likely assists
3/6 correct
C.J. Smith0.25 assist · 22%0Jack Eichel0.18 assist · 17%0
William Nylander0.15 assist · 14%1Ryan O'Reilly0.14 assist · 13%0
Jake Gardiner0.13 assist · 12%1
Nikita Zaitsev0.12 assist · 12%1Likely point getters
4/6 correctJack Eichel0.36 point · 30%1Auston Matthews0.29 point · 25%1C.J. Smith0.28 point · 24%0Evander Kane0.25 point · 22%0William Nylander0.25 point · 22%1Ryan O'Reilly0.24 point · 22%1Tonight's matchup
| TOR | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | G | 24 |
| 29 | A | 33 |
| 69 | PTS | 57 |
| 14.3% | S% | 9.6% |
| 17.6 | TOI | 19.9 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 04:26
N. Kadri (29)
TOR 1–0 BUF - 05:01
W. Nylander (38), J. Gardiner (31)
TOR 2–0 BUF - 05:09
T. Bozak (34)
TOR 3–0 BUF
2nd period
- 01:51
B. Gionta (19)
TOR 3–1 BUF
3rd period
- 05:50
M. Marner (42), N. Zaitsev (32)
TOR 4–1 BUF - 19:04
S. Reinhart (30)
TOR 4–2 BUF
Team comparison
| TOR | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 45 | Shots | 22 |
| 1 | Power play | — |
| 16 | Hits | 15 |
| 14 | Blocked shots | 12 |
| 6 | PIM | 30 |
