Flyers 4 - 5 Mammoth — Recap

Wed, Jan 21, 2026

02:00 AM

FinalRegular season

Delta Center

PHI

4–5

OT

UTA

L L L L W

L L L L L W

L W W OL L L L L L W

W W W OL W

W W W OL W W

W W W OL W W OW L W L

Retroactive prediction

Correct winner predicted

PHI 28%72% UTA

Probable score

2 - 4

Regulation win (home)

72%

OT / shootout probability

12%

Elo home / away

1512 / 1452

Likely goal scorers

4/6 correct

Dylan Guenther0.36 goal · 30%1

Nick Schmaltz0.27 goal · 23%0

Clayton Keller0.24 goal · 21%2

Lawson Crouse0.21 goal · 19%1

JJ Peterka0.20 goal · 18%1

Michael Carcone0.17 goal · 16%0

Likely goal scorers

4/6 correct

Dylan Guenther0.36 goal · 30%1

Nick Schmaltz0.27 goal · 23%0

Clayton Keller0.24 goal · 21%2

Lawson Crouse0.21 goal · 19%1

JJ Peterka0.20 goal · 18%1

Michael Carcone0.17 goal · 16%0

Likely assists

4/6 correct

Clayton Keller0.43 assist · 35%1

Mikhail Sergachev0.30 assist · 26%1

Nick Schmaltz0.26 assist · 23%2

Dylan Guenther0.20 assist · 18%1

John Marino0.20 assist · 18%0

Barrett Hayton0.20 assist · 18%0

Likely point getters

6/6 correct

Clayton Keller0.67 point · 49%3

Dylan Guenther0.56 point · 43%2

Nick Schmaltz0.53 point · 41%2

Mikhail Sergachev0.46 point · 37%1

JJ Peterka0.38 point · 32%1

Lawson Crouse0.36 point · 30%1

Tonight's matchup

Travis Konecny

PHI · R · 77 GP

vs

Clayton Keller

UTA · R · 82 GP

PHI	Stat	UTA
27	G	26
41	A	62
68	PTS	88
16.1%	S%	11.6%
19.1	TOI	19.1

Full compare →

Stat	PHI	UTA
Corsi %	51.5%	53.1%
xG %	50.0%	50.0%
xGF / g	0.00	0.00
xGA / g	0.00	0.00
HDCF / g	20.87	21.33
Sample	15	15

Result

Three stars

1

C. Keller

R · UTA

2G · 1A · 3P

2

L. Crouse

L · UTA

1G · 0A · 1P

3

D. Guenther

R · UTA

1G · 1A · 2P

Scoring summary

1st period

00:30
PHIC. York(4)
C. Dvorak (20), T. Sanheim (16)
PHI 1–0 UTA
04:36
PHIC. Dvorak(11)
T. Konecny (27), N. Juulsen (7)
PHI 2–0 UTA

2nd period

00:58
PHIB. Brink(12)PP
T. Zegras (26), J. Drysdale (16)
PHI 3–0 UTA
05:35
UTAJ. Peterka(17)
D. But (4)
PHI 3–1 UTA
06:11
UTAL. Crouse(13)
N. Schmaltz (27), C. Keller (34)
PHI 3–2 UTA
10:28
PHIC. Dvorak(12)PP
T. Zegras (27), J. Drysdale (17)
PHI 4–2 UTA

3rd period

12:47
UTAD. Guenther(24)PP
N. Schmaltz (28), M. Sergachev (26)
PHI 4–3 UTA
19:25
UTAC. Keller(14)TYING
PHI 4–4 UTA

Overtime 1

02:01
UTAC. Keller(15)
D. Guenther (19)
PHI 4–5 UTA

Team comparison

PHI	Stat	UTA
29	Shots	27
2	Power play	1
25	Hits	26
18	Blocked shots	11
11	PIM	15

Actual result

Goal scorers(7)

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(7)

Goal scorers(7)

Assists(11)

Points(15)