Lightning 1 - 2 Islanders — Recap

Tue, Dec 2, 2025

12:00 AM

FinalRegular season

UBS Arena

TBL

1–2

NYI

W W W W W

OW W W W W W

L W L W OW W W W W W

L OL L OW L

L OL L OW L W

L OL L OW L W W L OW OW

Retroactive prediction

Wrong winner predicted

TBL 65%35% NYI

Probable score

3 - 2

Regulation win (home)

21%

OT / shootout probability

15%

Elo home / away

1475 / 1572

Likely goal scorers

1/6 correct

0.17 goal · 15%0

0.16 goal · 15%0

0.14 goal · 13%0

0.10 goal · 9%1

0.09 goal · 8%0

0.07 goal · 7%0

Likely goal scorers

1/6 correct

0.17 goal · 15%0

0.16 goal · 15%0

0.14 goal · 13%0

0.10 goal · 9%1

0.09 goal · 8%0

0.07 goal · 7%0

Likely assists

0/6 correct

0.20 assist · 18%0

0.11 assist · 11%0

0.09 assist · 9%0

0.09 assist · 8%0

0.07 assist · 7%0

0.07 assist · 7%0

Likely point getters

1/6 correct

0.34 point · 29%0

0.26 point · 23%0

0.25 point · 22%0

0.16 point · 15%0

0.15 point · 14%0

0.15 point · 14%1

Tonight's matchup

Nikita Kucherov

TBL · R · 76 GP

Mathew Barzal

NYI · C · 81 GP

TBL	Stat	NYI
44	G	19
86	A	53
130	PTS	72
19.0%	S%	10.3%
20.3	TOI	20.7

TBL 4 – 2 NYI · goal diff (home) -0.83

Apr 1TBL4–1NYI2024-25 Mar 29NYI3–5TBL2024-25 Feb 1NYI3–2TBLOT2024-25 Mar 30NYI1–4TBL2023-24 Feb 24TBL4–2NYI2023-24 Feb 8TBL2–6NYI2023-24

Result

Three stars

B. Horvat

C · NYI

1G · 0A · 1P

I. Sorokin

G · NYI

0G · 0A · 0P

A. Duclair

L · NYI

1G · 0A · 1P

Scoring summary

2nd period

00:55
NYIB. Horvat(16)
M. Shabanov (5)
TBL 0–1 NYI

3rd period

05:30
NYIA. Duclair(4)
C. Ritchie (2), T. DeAngelo (9)
TBL 0–2 NYI
16:26
TBLD. James(2)
E. Lilleberg (4), N. Paul (3)
TBL 1–2 NYI

Team comparison

TBL	Stat	NYI
31	Shots	24
14	Hits	19
7	Blocked shots	19
6	PIM	6

Actual result

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(3)

Goal scorers(3)

Assists(5)

Points(8)