Senators 4 - 5 Capitals — Recap

Mon, Mar 3, 2025

11:30 PM

FinalRegular season

Capital One Arena

OTT

4–5

SO

WSH

L L L L W

L L L L L W

W OW W W L L L L L W

L L L W W

L L L W W OL

L L L W W OL W W OL OL

Retroactive prediction

Correct winner predicted

OTT 36%64% WSH

Probable score

3 - 4

Regulation win (home)

58%

OT / shootout probability

15%

Elo home / away

1540 / 1486

Likely goal scorers

4/6 correct

0.47 goal · 38%0

0.28 goal · 24%0

0.26 goal · 23%1

0.24 goal · 21%1

0.23 goal · 20%1

0.23 goal · 20%1

Likely goal scorers

4/6 correct

0.47 goal · 38%0

0.28 goal · 24%0

0.26 goal · 23%1

0.24 goal · 21%1

0.23 goal · 20%1

0.23 goal · 20%1

Likely assists

4/6 correct

0.29 assist · 25%0

0.26 assist · 23%2

0.25 assist · 22%2

0.24 assist · 22%0

0.23 assist · 21%1

0.23 assist · 21%1

Likely point getters

5/6 correct

0.67 point · 49%0

0.51 point · 40%1

0.48 point · 38%3

0.47 point · 37%2

0.46 point · 37%1

0.42 point · 34%2

Tonight's matchup

Tim Stützle

OTT · C · 82 GP

vs

Dylan Strome

WSH · C · 82 GP

OTT	Stat	WSH
24	G	29
55	A	53
79	PTS	82
14.8%	S%	19.5%
19.8	TOI	17.4

OTT 5 – 3 WSH · goal diff (home) -0.75

Jan 30WSH4–5OTTOT2024-25 Jan 16WSH1–0OTTOT2024-25 Apr 7OTT3–2WSHOT2023-24 Feb 26OTT3–6WSH2023-24 Oct 18WSH1–6OTT2023-24 Dec 29OTT4–3WSHOT2022-23 Dec 22WSH3–2OTTOT2022-23 Oct 20WSH2–5OTT2022-23

Result

Three stars

1

T. Wilson

R · WSH

1G · 1A · 2P

2

S. Pinto

C · OTT

2G · 0A · 2P

3

P. Dubois

L · WSH

1G · 2A · 3P

Scoring summary

1st period

01:41
WSHC. McMichael(22)
M. Fehérváry (14), P. Dubois (36)
OTT 0–1 WSH
03:34
WSHP. Dubois(15)
C. McMichael (25), R. Sandin (18)
OTT 0–2 WSH

2nd period

06:53
WSHT. Wilson(27)PP
P. Dubois (37), D. Strome (42)
OTT 0–3 WSH
12:18
OTTS. Pinto(13)
J. Sanderson (32), C. Giroux (27)
OTT 1–3 WSH

3rd period

01:05
OTTC. Giroux(12)PP
J. Sanderson (33), T. Stützle (43)
OTT 2–3 WSH
08:01
OTTS. Pinto(14)TYING
M. Amadio (10), T. Chabot (25)
OTT 3–3 WSH
12:43
WSHM. Fehérváry(3)
T. Wilson (20), A. Protas (28)
OTT 3–4 WSH
18:52
OTTB. Tkachuk(23)TYINGPP
T. Stützle (44), J. Sanderson (34)
OTT 4–4 WSH

Shootout

00:00
WSHD. Strome
OTT 4–5 WSH

Team comparison

OTT	Stat	WSH
37	Shots	41
2	Power play	1
21	Hits	10
14	Blocked shots	27
9	PIM	17

Actual result

Goal scorers(7)

Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH1

Connor McMichaelWSH1

Martin FehérváryWSH1

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(7)

Goal scorers(7)

Assists(12)

Points(14)