Lightning 5 - 2 Penguins — Recap

Sun, Jan 12, 2025

10:00 PM

FinalRegular season

PPG Paints Arena

TBL

5–2

PIT

L L W W OL

L L L W W OL

L W W L L L L W W OL

L W OL OL OL

L W OL OL OL L

L W OL OL OL L W L W L

Retroactive prediction

Correct winner predicted

TBL 56%44% PIT

Probable score

3 - 3

Regulation win (home)

36%

OT / shootout probability

16%

Elo home / away

1476 / 1551

Likely goal scorers

2/6 correct

Rickard Rakell0.22 goal · 20%1

Sidney Crosby0.22 goal · 20%0

Bryan Rust0.20 goal · 19%0

Brayden Point0.20 goal · 18%0

Jake Guentzel0.19 goal · 17%0

Nikita Kucherov0.18 goal · 16%2

Likely goal scorers

2/6 correct

Rickard Rakell0.22 goal · 20%1

Sidney Crosby0.22 goal · 20%0

Bryan Rust0.20 goal · 19%0

Brayden Point0.20 goal · 18%0

Jake Guentzel0.19 goal · 17%0

Nikita Kucherov0.18 goal · 16%2

Likely assists

4/6 correct

Nikita Kucherov0.28 assist · 25%1

Sidney Crosby0.27 assist · 24%1

Erik Karlsson0.21 assist · 19%0

Bryan Rust0.17 assist · 16%1

Victor Hedman0.17 assist · 15%1

Matt Grzelcyk0.13 assist · 12%0

Likely point getters

4/6 correct

Sidney Crosby0.49 point · 39%1

Nikita Kucherov0.46 point · 37%3

Bryan Rust0.38 point · 31%1

Rickard Rakell0.33 point · 28%2

Brayden Point0.33 point · 28%0

Erik Karlsson0.32 point · 27%0

Tonight's matchup

Nikita Kucherov

TBL · R · 78 GP

vs

Sidney Crosby

PIT · C · 80 GP

TBL	Stat	PIT
37	G	33
84	A	58
121	PTS	91
14.0%	S%	14.5%
21.2	TOI	20.4

TBL 2 – 5 PIT · goal diff (home) 1.29

Nov 19TBL3–2PITOT2024-25 Apr 6TBL4–5PIT2023-24 Dec 6PIT1–3TBL2023-24 Nov 30PIT4–2TBL2023-24 Mar 2PIT5–4TBLOT2022-23 Feb 26TBL3–7PIT2022-23 Oct 15TBL2–6PIT2022-23

Result

Three stars

1

N. Kucherov

R · TBL

2G · 1A · 3P

2

B. Hagel

L · TBL

1G · 1A · 2P

3

R. Rakell

R · PIT

1G · 1A · 2P

Scoring summary

1st period

14:20
PITR. Rakell(22)
B. Rust (17), M. Pettersson (14)
TBL 0–1 PIT

2nd period

06:54
TBLB. Hagel(20)TYING
A. Cirelli (19), E. Lilleberg (9)
TBL 1–1 PIT
16:04
TBLN. Kucherov(19)
V. Hedman (26), J. Guentzel (20)
TBL 2–1 PIT

3rd period

02:17
PITK. Hayes(7)TYINGPP
R. Rakell (16), S. Crosby (36)
TBL 2–2 PIT
16:57
TBLN. Kucherov(20)
TBL 3–2 PIT
18:48
TBLA. Cirelli(17)EN
N. Kucherov (42), B. Hagel (28)
TBL 4–2 PIT
19:39
TBLN. Paul(11)EN
J. Guentzel (21), R. McDonagh (13)
TBL 5–2 PIT

Team comparison

TBL	Stat	PIT
19	Shots	33
—	Power play	1
38	Hits	33
15	Blocked shots	11
8	PIM	2

Actual result

Goal scorers(6)

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(6)

Goal scorers(6)

Assists(11)

Points(13)