Capitals 5 - 4 Lightning — Recap

Wed, Nov 27, 2024

12:30 AM

FinalRegular season

Amalie Arena

WSH

5–4

TBL

W W L L W

W W W L L W

W L W OL W W W L L W

W L OL OW W

W L OL OW W W

W L OL OW W W OL L L L

Retroactive prediction

Wrong winner predicted

WSH 47%53% TBL

Probable score

3 - 4

Regulation win (home)

39%

OT / shootout probability

15%

Elo home / away

1545 / 1507

Likely goal scorers

1/6 correct

0.13 goal · 12%3

0.11 goal · 11%0

0.09 goal · 9%0

0.09 goal · 9%0

0.09 goal · 8%0

0.09 goal · 8%0

Likely goal scorers

1/6 correct

0.13 goal · 12%3

0.11 goal · 11%0

0.09 goal · 9%0

0.09 goal · 9%0

0.09 goal · 8%0

0.09 goal · 8%0

Likely assists

5/6 correct

0.14 assist · 13%1

0.12 assist · 11%1

0.12 assist · 11%0

0.08 assist · 8%1

0.08 assist · 7%1

0.07 assist · 7%1

Likely point getters

4/6 correct

0.23 point · 21%1

0.20 point · 18%0

0.19 point · 17%1

0.19 point · 17%3

0.18 point · 16%2

0.15 point · 14%0

Tonight's matchup

Dylan Strome

WSH · C · 82 GP

vs

Nikita Kucherov

TBL · R · 78 GP

WSH	Stat	TBL
29	G	37
53	A	84
82	PTS	121
19.5%	S%	14.0%
17.4	TOI	21.2

WSH 3 – 4 TBL · goal diff (home) 0.43

Oct 26WSH0–3TBL2024-25 Apr 13TBL2–4WSH2023-24 Feb 22WSH5–3TBL2023-24 Dec 23TBL2–1WSHSO2023-24 Mar 30WSH1–5TBL2022-23 Nov 13WSH3–6TBL2022-23 Nov 11TBL1–5WSH2022-23

Result

Three stars

1

T. Wilson

R · WSH

1G · 1A · 2P

2

B. Point

C · TBL

3G · 0A · 3P

3

J. Carlson

D · WSH

1G · 0A · 1P

Scoring summary

1st period

03:58
TBLB. Point(13)
J. Guentzel (12)
WSH 0–1 TBL
12:27
TBLB. Point(14)PP
N. Kucherov (21), V. Hedman (15)
WSH 0–2 TBL

2nd period

10:31
WSHA. Mangiapane(5)
L. Eller (5), H. Lapierre (5)
WSH 1–2 TBL
12:29
WSHA. Protas(8)TYINGSH
T. Wilson (10)
WSH 2–2 TBL
19:16
TBLM. Eyssimont(2)
Z. Girgensons (2)
WSH 2–3 TBL

3rd period

01:37
WSHD. Strome(7)TYING
T. Raddysh (6), A. Protas (12)
WSH 3–3 TBL
07:25
TBLB. Point(15)
WSH 3–4 TBL
10:30
WSHJ. Carlson(3)TYING
WSH 4–4 TBL
16:34
WSHT. Wilson(7)PP
J. Chychrun (6), D. Strome (24)
WSH 5–4 TBL

Team comparison

WSH	Stat	TBL
32	Shots	28
1	Power play	1
24	Hits	26
15	Blocked shots	11
11	PIM	11

Actual result

Goal scorers(7)

Brayden PointTBL3

Tom WilsonWSH1

Dylan StromeWSH1

Andrew MangiapaneWSH1

Aliaksei ProtasWSH1

Michael EyssimontTBL1

John CarlsonWSH1

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(7)

Goal scorers(7)

Assists(11)

Points(15)