Red Wings 5 - 3 Sabres — Recap

Tue, Dec 5, 2023

12:30 AM

FinalRegular season

KeyBank Center

DET

5–3

BUF

W W L W OW

W W W L W OW

OL W OL L W W W L W OW

L L L W L

L L L W L W

L L L W L W OL W L L

Retroactive prediction

Correct winner predicted

DET 53%47% BUF

Probable score

4 - 3

Regulation win (home)

33%

OT / shootout probability

15%

Elo home / away

1486 / 1493

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

0.14 goal · 14%0

0.13 goal · 12%1

0.12 goal · 11%0

0.12 goal · 11%2

0.11 goal · 11%1

0.11 goal · 11%0

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

0.14 goal · 14%0

0.13 goal · 12%1

0.12 goal · 11%0

0.12 goal · 11%2

0.11 goal · 11%1

0.11 goal · 11%0

Likely assists

2/6 correct

0.12 assist · 11%0

0.11 assist · 10%0

0.10 assist · 10%1

0.09 assist · 9%0

0.09 assist · 9%0

0.09 assist · 8%1

Likely point getters

6/6 correct

0.25 point · 22%1

0.20 point · 18%2

0.20 point · 18%2

0.19 point · 17%1

0.19 point · 17%1

0.18 point · 16%1

Tonight's matchup

Lucas Raymond

DET · L · 82 GP

vs

Rasmus Dahlin

BUF · D · 81 GP

DET	Stat	BUF
31	G	20
41	A	39
72	PTS	59
19.0%	S%	8.5%
17.8	TOI	25.4

DET 4 – 4 BUF · goal diff (home) 0.38

Apr 6BUF7–6DETSO2022-23 Dec 29DET3–6BUF2022-23 Nov 30BUF5–4DETSO2022-23 Oct 31DET3–8BUF2022-23 Jan 17DET3–2BUFOT2021-22 Jan 15BUF0–4DET2021-22 Nov 27BUF2–3DETOT2021-22 Nov 6DET4–3BUFOT2021-22

Result

Three stars

1

R. Fabbri

C · DET

1G · 1A · 2P

2

D. Larkin

C · DET

2G · 0A · 2P

3

J. Skinner

L · BUF

1G · 1A · 2P

Scoring summary

1st period

03:40
DETD. Larkin(9)
L. Raymond (12)
DET 1–0 BUF
08:25
DETR. Fabbri(8)
A. Copp (6), D. Perron (6)
DET 2–0 BUF

2nd period

05:43
DETM. Seider(4)PP
R. Fabbri (3), A. DeBrincat (11)
DET 3–0 BUF
13:55
DETM. Rasmussen(3)
J. Petry (7), S. Gostisbehere (14)
DET 4–0 BUF
18:57
BUFR. Dahlin(6)PP
T. Thompson (7), D. Cozens (8)
DET 4–1 BUF

3rd period

08:20
BUFC. Mittelstadt(6)
J. Skinner (9), J. Peterka (9)
DET 4–2 BUF
11:37
BUFJ. Skinner(11)PP
DET 4–3 BUF
19:14
DETD. Larkin(10)SHEN
M. Rasmussen (6)
DET 5–3 BUF

Team comparison

DET	Stat	BUF
27	Shots	32
1	Power play	2
16	Hits	18
18	Blocked shots	9
10	PIM	8

Actual result

Goal scorers(7)

Casey MittelstadtBUF1

Rasmus DahlinBUF1

Michael RasmussenDET1

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(7)

Goal scorers(7)

Assists(12)

Points(16)