Lightning 4 - 7 Red Wings — Recap

Wed, Dec 21, 2022

12:00 AM

FinalRegular season

Little Caesars Arena

TBL

4–7

DET

W W W W L

W W W W W L

L W OW L W W W W W L

OL L L L OL

OL L L L OL L

OL L L L OL L W W L OL

Retroactive prediction

Wrong winner predicted

TBL 58%42% DET

Probable score

4 - 3

Regulation win (home)

27%

OT / shootout probability

15%

Elo home / away

1489 / 1525

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

0.20 goal · 18%1

0.15 goal · 14%0

0.14 goal · 13%0

0.11 goal · 11%1

0.10 goal · 9%2

0.09 goal · 9%0

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

0.20 goal · 18%1

0.15 goal · 14%0

0.14 goal · 13%0

0.11 goal · 11%1

0.10 goal · 9%2

0.09 goal · 9%0

Likely assists

4/6 correct

0.24 assist · 21%1

0.15 assist · 14%1

0.15 assist · 14%0

0.12 assist · 11%1

0.11 assist · 11%0

0.10 assist · 9%1

Likely point getters

4/6 correct

0.35 point · 29%2

0.30 point · 26%1

0.27 point · 24%1

0.23 point · 20%0

0.20 point · 19%0

0.19 point · 17%3

Tonight's matchup

Nikita Kucherov

TBL · R · 82 GP

vs

Dylan Larkin

DET · C · 80 GP

TBL	Stat	DET
30	G	32
83	A	47
113	PTS	79
11.1%	S%	13.1%
20.1	TOI	19.6

TBL 5 – 5 DET · goal diff (home) 0.40

Dec 6DET4–2TBL2022-23 Apr 19DET4–3TBL2021-22 Mar 26TBL2–1DETOT2021-22 Mar 4DET1–3TBL2021-22 Oct 14TBL7–6DETOT2021-22 May 2TBL2–1DET2020-21 May 1TBL0–1DETSO2020-21 Apr 4DET5–1TBL2020-21

Result

Three stars

1

D. Larkin

C · DET

2G · 1A · 3P

2

M. Rasmussen

C · DET

2G · 2A · 4P

3

N. Kucherov

R · TBL

1G · 1A · 2P

Scoring summary

1st period

01:29
TBLB. Point(17)
N. Kucherov (36), E. Cernak (6)
TBL 1–0 DET
15:34
DETO. Maatta(3)TYING
P. Suter (6)
TBL 1–1 DET
18:38
TBLA. Killorn(9)
R. Colton (7), N. Perbix (5)
TBL 2–1 DET
19:32
DETM. Rasmussen(5)TYING
B. Chiarot (6), O. Sundqvist (8)
TBL 2–2 DET

2nd period

11:08
DETD. Larkin(11)
D. Perron (14), M. Rasmussen (8)
TBL 2–3 DET
13:15
TBLR. Colton(8)TYING
TBL 3–3 DET

3rd period

03:48
DETE. Soderblom(4)
J. Veleno (5)
TBL 3–4 DET
09:46
DETD. Larkin(12)
M. Rasmussen (9)
TBL 3–5 DET
16:13
TBLN. Kucherov(13)
V. Hedman (17), S. Stamkos (22)
TBL 4–5 DET
17:27
DETD. Perron(11)EN
D. Larkin (19)
TBL 4–6 DET
18:59
DETM. Rasmussen(6)EN
D. Perron (15)
TBL 4–7 DET

Team comparison

TBL	Stat	DET
38	Shots	31
17	Hits	18
14	Blocked shots	18
10	PIM	14

Actual result

Goal scorers(9)

Dylan LarkinDET2

Michael RasmussenDET2

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(9)

Goal scorers(9)

Assists(13)

Points(17)