Maple Leafs 4 - 3 Lightning — Recap

Tue, Feb 25, 2020

12:00 AM

FinalRegular season

Amalie Arena

TOR

4–3

TBL

W L L W L

L W L L W L

L OW OL OW L W L L W L

L L OW W W

L L OW W W OW

L L OW W W OW OW W W W

Retroactive prediction

Wrong winner predicted

TOR 33%67% TBL

Probable score

1 - 2

Regulation win (home)

56%

OT / shootout probability

21%

Elo home / away

1610 / 1524

Likely goal scorers

1/6 correct

0.25 goal · 22%0

0.22 goal · 20%1

0.16 goal · 14%0

0.15 goal · 14%0

0.14 goal · 13%0

0.13 goal · 13%0

Likely goal scorers

1/6 correct

0.25 goal · 22%0

0.22 goal · 20%1

0.16 goal · 14%0

0.15 goal · 14%0

0.14 goal · 13%0

0.13 goal · 13%0

Likely assists

3/6 correct

0.28 assist · 24%0

0.24 assist · 22%1

0.24 assist · 21%1

0.23 assist · 20%0

0.15 assist · 14%0

0.14 assist · 13%1

Likely point getters

3/6 correct

0.50 point · 40%1

0.49 point · 39%1

0.38 point · 32%0

0.31 point · 27%1

0.27 point · 23%0

0.24 point · 21%0

Tonight's matchup

Auston Matthews

TOR · C · 70 GP

vs

Nikita Kucherov

TBL · R · 68 GP

TOR	Stat	TBL
47	G	33
33	A	52
80	PTS	85
16.2%	S%	15.7%
21.0	TOI	18.9

TOR 2 – 7 TBL · goal diff (home) 1.56

Oct 10TBL7–3TOR2019-20 Apr 4TBL3–1TOR2018-19 Mar 11TBL6–2TOR2018-19 Jan 17TOR4–2TBL2018-19 Dec 13TOR1–4TBL2018-19 Mar 20TOR3–4TBL2017-18 Feb 26TOR3–4TBLSO2017-18 Feb 12TBL3–4TOR2017-18

Result

Three stars

1

J. Tavares

C · TOR

2G · 0A · 2P

2

W. Nylander

C · TOR

1G · 1A · 2P

3

K. Shattenkirk

D · TBL

0G · 2A · 2P

Scoring summary

1st period

09:46
TBLN. Kucherov(30)
S. Stamkos (37), V. Hedman (43)
TOR 0–1 TBL
12:48
TORJ. Muzzin(6)TYING
J. Spezza (15), F. Gauthier (5)
TOR 1–1 TBL
16:42
TORJ. Tavares(25)PP
T. Barrie (31), A. Matthews (31)
TOR 2–1 TBL

2nd period

11:54
TBLP. Maroon(8)TYING
C. Paquette (10), K. Shattenkirk (24)
TOR 2–2 TBL
12:25
TORJ. Tavares(26)
W. Nylander (28)
TOR 3–2 TBL
14:21
TORW. Nylander(28)PP
M. Marner (47), T. Barrie (32)
TOR 4–2 TBL

3rd period

07:27
TBLY. Gourde(9)
K. Shattenkirk (25), B. Goodrow (17)
TOR 4–3 TBL

Team comparison

TOR	Stat	TBL
23	Shots	29
2	Power play	—
20	Hits	33
11	Blocked shots	9
4	PIM	8

Actual result

Goal scorers(6)

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(6)

Goal scorers(6)

Assists(11)

Points(16)