Maple Leafs 4 - 5 Senators — Recap

Wed, Oct 12, 2016

11:00 PM

FinalRegular season

Canadian Tire Centre

TOR

4–5

OTT

L L L OW L

L L L L OW L

OW L L W L L L L OW L

W W L L W

W W L L W W

W W L L W W OL L L W

Retroactive prediction

Correct winner predicted

TOR 33%67% OTT

Probable score

1 - 2

Regulation win (home)

56%

OT / shootout probability

22%

Elo home / away

1495 / 1416

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

Mike Hoffman0.20 goal · 18%0

Zack Smith0.18 goal · 17%0

Mark Stone0.18 goal · 16%0

Erik Karlsson0.17 goal · 15%1

Auston Matthews0.17 goal · 15%4

Derick Brassard0.15 goal · 14%1

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

Mike Hoffman0.20 goal · 18%0

Zack Smith0.18 goal · 17%0

Mark Stone0.18 goal · 16%0

Erik Karlsson0.17 goal · 15%1

Auston Matthews0.17 goal · 15%4

Derick Brassard0.15 goal · 14%1

Likely assists

4/6 correct

Erik Karlsson0.34 assist · 29%2

Mark Stone0.27 assist · 24%2

Mike Hoffman0.24 assist · 21%0

Derick Brassard0.22 assist · 19%1

Jean-Gabriel Pageau0.22 assist · 19%0

Bobby Ryan0.18 assist · 16%1

Likely point getters

4/6 correct

Erik Karlsson0.51 point · 40%3

Mark Stone0.45 point · 36%2

Mike Hoffman0.44 point · 36%0

Derick Brassard0.37 point · 31%2

Jean-Gabriel Pageau0.31 point · 26%0

Bobby Ryan0.27 point · 23%2

Tonight's matchup

Auston Matthews

TOR · C · 82 GP

Erik Karlsson

OTT · D · 77 GP

TOR	Stat	OTT
40	G	17
29	A	54
69	PTS	71
14.3%	S%	7.8%
17.6	TOI	26.8

TOR 3 – 6 OTT · goal diff (home) 1.11

Mar 12TOR0–4OTT2015-16 Mar 5OTT3–2TOR2015-16 Feb 6TOR1–6OTT2015-16 Oct 10OTT5–4TORSO2015-16 Apr 5OTT2–3TORSO2014-15 Mar 28OTT3–4TOROT2014-15 Mar 21TOR3–5OTT2014-15 Jan 21TOR3–4OTT2014-15

Result

Three stars

A. Matthews

C · TOR

4G · 0A · 4P

K. Turris

C · OTT

2G · 0A · 2P

D. Brassard

C · OTT

1G · 1A · 2P

Scoring summary

1st period

08:21
TORA. Matthews(1)
Z. Hyman (1), W. Nylander (1)
TOR 1–0 OTT
10:26
OTTB. Ryan(1)TYING
E. Karlsson (1), Z. Smith (1)
TOR 1–1 OTT
12:49
OTTE. Karlsson(1)
D. Brassard (1), B. Ryan (1)
TOR 1–2 OTT
14:18
TORA. Matthews(2)TYING
TOR 2–2 OTT

2nd period

01:25
TORA. Matthews(3)
M. Rielly (1)
TOR 3–2 OTT
17:52
OTTD. Brassard(1)TYING
TOR 3–3 OTT
19:57
TORA. Matthews(4)
W. Nylander (2), J. Gardiner (1)
TOR 4–3 OTT

3rd period

06:45
OTTK. Turris(1)TYING
M. Stone (1)
TOR 4–4 OTT

Overtime 1

00:37
OTTK. Turris(2)
M. Stone (2), E. Karlsson (2)
TOR 4–5 OTT

Team comparison

TOR	Stat	OTT
38	Shots	30
21	Hits	30
9	Blocked shots	25
11	PIM	13

Actual result

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(5)

Goal scorers(5)

Assists(9)

Points(11)