Senators 7 - 3 Lightning — Recap

Tue, Mar 6, 2012

12:30 AM

FinalRegular season

Tampa Bay Times Forum

OTT

7–3

TBL

L W W L L

W L W W L L

OL W W W W L W W L L

OW OW W W L

OW OW W W L L

OW OW W W L L W W OW L

Retroactive prediction

Correct winner predicted

OTT 51%49% TBL

Probable score

2 - 1

Regulation win (home)

33%

OT / shootout probability

24%

Elo home / away

1476 / 1481

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

0.23 goal · 20%1

0.16 goal · 15%0

0.13 goal · 12%0

0.13 goal · 12%3

0.10 goal · 10%0

0.09 goal · 9%1

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

0.23 goal · 20%1

0.16 goal · 15%0

0.13 goal · 12%0

0.13 goal · 12%3

0.10 goal · 10%0

0.09 goal · 9%1

Likely assists

2/6 correct

0.21 assist · 19%1

0.20 assist · 18%0

0.18 assist · 17%0

0.16 assist · 15%0

0.14 assist · 13%0

0.13 assist · 12%1

Likely point getters

4/6 correct

0.39 point · 32%1

0.36 point · 30%0

0.30 point · 26%1

0.28 point · 24%1

0.27 point · 24%0

0.22 point · 19%4

Tonight's matchup

Jason Spezza

OTT · C · 80 GP

vs

Steven Stamkos

TBL · C · 82 GP

OTT	Stat	TBL
34	G	60
50	A	37
84	PTS	97
14.7%	S%	19.8%
19.9	TOI	22.0

OTT 6 – 4 TBL · goal diff (home) -0.40

Feb 14OTT4–0TBL2011-12 Jan 5TBL1–4OTT2011-12 Dec 5TBL2–4OTT2011-12 Mar 29OTT2–5TBL2010-11 Mar 19TBL2–3OTTOT2010-11 Mar 11OTT2–1TBL2010-11 Jan 8TBL2–1OTT2010-11 Apr 8OTT3–4TBLSO2009-10

Result

Three stars

1

C. Greening

C · OTT

1G · 1A · 2P

2

F. Kuba

D · OTT

0G · 2A · 2P

3

T. Pyatt

C · TBL

0G · 2A · 2P

Scoring summary

1st period

09:38
OTTS. Gonchar(1)
C. Greening (1), J. Cowen (1)
OTT 1–0 TBL
17:37
OTTC. Greening(1)
M. Michalek (1), F. Kuba (1)
OTT 2–0 TBL
18:30
OTTK. Turris(1)
OTT 3–0 TBL

2nd period

01:24
TBLR. Shannon(1)
T. Pyatt (1), B. Connolly (1)
OTT 3–1 TBL
07:12
TBLT. Wallace(1)
J. Wyman (1), T. Pyatt (2)
OTT 3–2 TBL
11:58
OTTE. Karlsson(1)PP
OTT 4–2 TBL

3rd period

05:41
TBLS. Stamkos(1)PP
T. Purcell (1), R. Malone (1)
OTT 4–3 TBL
12:12
OTTM. Michalek(1)PP
D. Alfredsson (1), F. Kuba (2)
OTT 5–3 TBL
18:33
OTTM. Michalek(2)EN
OTT 6–3 TBL
19:53
OTTM. Michalek(3)SHEN
OTT 7–3 TBL

Team comparison

OTT	Stat	TBL
35	Shots	28
2	Power play	1
22	Hits	26
8	Blocked shots	9
11	PIM	9

Actual result

Goal scorers(8)

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(8)

Goal scorers(8)

Assists(10)

Points(16)