Senators 8 - 4 Lightning — Recap

Thu, Jan 24, 2008

12:30 AM

FinalRegular season

St. Pete Times Forum

OTT

8–4

TBL

L W L L L

L L W L L L

W OW OW W L L W L L L

W W W L W

W W W L W L

W W W L W L W OL L OL

Retroactive prediction

Wrong winner predicted

OTT 48%52% TBL

Probable score

2 - 2

Regulation win (home)

43%

OT / shootout probability

23%

Elo home / away

1478 / 1522

Likely goal scorers

1/6 correct

Vincent Lecavalier0.17 goal · 15%0

Martin St. Louis0.14 goal · 13%0

Daniel Alfredsson0.10 goal · 9%3

Brad Richards0.08 goal · 8%0

Mike Fisher0.08 goal · 7%0

Vinny Prospal0.07 goal · 7%0

Likely goal scorers

1/6 correct

Vincent Lecavalier0.17 goal · 15%0

Martin St. Louis0.14 goal · 13%0

Daniel Alfredsson0.10 goal · 9%3

Brad Richards0.08 goal · 8%0

Mike Fisher0.08 goal · 7%0

Vinny Prospal0.07 goal · 7%0

Likely assists

3/6 correct

Martin St. Louis0.20 assist · 18%1

Vincent Lecavalier0.14 assist · 13%0

Vinny Prospal0.12 assist · 11%0

Brad Richards0.11 assist · 10%0

Jason Spezza0.10 assist · 9%1

Daniel Alfredsson0.08 assist · 8%4

Likely point getters

3/6 correct

Martin St. Louis0.34 point · 29%1

Vincent Lecavalier0.31 point · 26%0

Brad Richards0.19 point · 17%0

Vinny Prospal0.19 point · 17%0

Daniel Alfredsson0.18 point · 16%7

Jason Spezza0.16 point · 15%3

Tonight's matchup

Jason Spezza

OTT · C · 76 GP

vs

Vincent Lecavalier

TBL · C · 81 GP

OTT	Stat	TBL
34	G	40
58	A	52
92	PTS	92
16.2%	S%	12.6%
20.7	TOI	23.0

OTT 1 – 2 TBL · goal diff (home) 0.67

Jan 19TBL2–0OTT2007-08 Jan 5TBL3–4OTTOT2007-08 Dec 4OTT3–4TBLSO2007-08

Result

Scoring summary

1st period

13:43
OTTD. Alfredsson(30)
A. Vermette (17)
OTT 1–0 TBL
14:12
OTTJ. Spezza(17)
R. Robitaille (10), D. Alfredsson (32)
OTT 2–0 TBL
18:41
OTTD. Alfredsson(31)PP
J. Spezza (40), A. Meszaros (15)
OTT 3–0 TBL

2nd period

04:38
OTTD. Alfredsson(32)SH
M. Fisher (20)
OTT 4–0 TBL
09:36
OTTA. Vermette(11)
D. Alfredsson (33), W. Redden (23)
OTT 5–0 TBL
13:51
TBLD. Boyle(1)
OTT 5–1 TBL

3rd period

01:39
OTTR. Robitaille(8)
D. Alfredsson (34), W. Redden (24)
OTT 6–1 TBL
01:59
TBLN. Tarnasky(4)
B. Lukowich (5)
OTT 6–2 TBL
03:58
OTTD. McAmmond(6)
C. Neil (11), M. Fisher (21)
OTT 7–2 TBL
05:07
TBLC. MacDonald(2)
A. Roy (3), N. Tarnasky (4)
OTT 7–3 TBL
15:17
TBLD. Boyle(2)
P. Ranger (16), M. St. Louis (40)
OTT 7–4 TBL
16:33
OTTJ. Spezza(18)
D. Alfredsson (35), A. Meszaros (16)
OTT 8–4 TBL

Team comparison

OTT	Stat	TBL
26	Shots	25
1	Power play	—
18	Hits	27
12	Blocked shots	12
15	PIM	23

Actual result

Goal scorers(8)

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(8)

Goal scorers(8)

Assists(13)

Points(16)